Question
Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters132
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
97.1
Community Peer Score
1.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 26, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 26, 2021