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11 comments
47 forecasters
2030 FIFA World Cup Host
Spain-Portugal-Morocco
result:
Yes
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay
result:
No
Greece-Saudi Arabia
result:
No
Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco
result:
No
Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia
result:
No
418 comments
1.2k forecasters
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
Ted Cruz
result:
No
13 others
82 comments
235 forecasters
US Election Winner; Conditional
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Joe Biden (D)
Annulled
Nikki Haley (R)
Annulled
16 others
33 comments
21 forecasters
US National Home Price Index - Monthly
6 comments
14 forecasters
WNBA 2024 Champions
New York Liberty
result:
Yes
Minnesota Lynx
result:
No
Atlanta Dream
result:
No
Los Angeles Sparks
result:
No
8 others
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
2024 US Presidential Election Winner?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Vivek Ramaswamy
result:
No
Cornel West
result:
No
Tim Walz
result:
No
16 others
2 comments
22 forecasters
AI labs safety red-teaming by June 30, 2024?
OpenAI
result:
No
Google Deep Mind
result:
No
Inflection
result:
No
Meta
result:
No
Anthropic
result:
No
63 comments
60 forecasters
2024 NBA Champions
Boston Celtics
result:
Yes
Denver Nuggets
result:
No
Dallas Mavericks
result:
No
Minnesota Timberwolves
result:
No
26 others
584 comments
1.2k forecasters
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Kamala Harris
result:
Yes
Joe Biden
result:
No
Gavin Newsom
result:
No
Bernie Sanders
result:
No
12 others
126 comments
224 forecasters
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2025?
result
No
238 comments
223 forecasters
2024 GOP Vice Presidential nominee
J.D. Vance
result:
Yes
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
result:
No
Tulsi Gabbard
result:
No
Nancy Mace
result:
No
25 others
27 comments
210 forecasters
US Iran War Before 2025?
result
No
17 comments
33 forecasters
OpenAI Lawsuits?
Sam Altman against OpenAI
result:
No
OpenAI against Microsoft
result:
No
OpenAI investors against OpenAI board
result:
No
Government antitrust against Microsoft
result:
No
OpenAI against Sam Altman
result:
No
6 comments
16 forecasters
Nvidia quarterly revenue from China in 2024?
2 comments
62 forecasters
Anthropic/OpenAI Licenses
result
No
14 comments
125 forecasters
OpenAI Public Company
result
No
8 comments
115 forecasters
Non-Test Nuclear Detonation in Iran by 2025?
result
No
14 comments
28 forecasters
Will OpenAI Inc. Change Mission Statement?
This question is closed for forecasting.
60 comments
30 forecasters
RCP Biden Polling Margin to Trump
23 comments
58 forecasters
AI lab tools to check AI content by mid 2024
Google Deep Mind
result:
No
Inflection
result:
No
OpenAI
result:
No
Anthropic
result:
No
Meta
result:
No
6 comments
23 forecasters
Emergency response plans before 2025
Google DeepMind
result:
No
Anthropic
result:
No
OpenAI
result:
No
20 comments
93 forecasters
Apple LLM 2024?
result
No
6 comments
100 forecasters
China Engages in a Blockade Against Taiwan
10 comments
42 forecasters
What will the ZEV share of light vehicles sold globally be in these years?
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