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Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

37.1%chance

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

resultNo

Will SpaceX start testing a Starship (BFS) before 2020?

resultYes

Will SpaceX Starship (with or without a booster) reach space before 2021?

resultNo

Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2022?

resultNo

Intersections between nuclear risk and AI

5
no comments0
Nuclear Risk Tournament

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives