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43
comments
525
forecasters
By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?
result
Yes
1
comment
8
forecasters
Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
55%
chance
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Mar 2035
17
comments
38
forecasters
When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?
Current estimate
Oct 2034
25
comments
78
forecasters
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
16%
chance
2
comments
31
forecasters
By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?
60%
chance
14
comments
117
forecasters
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
Current estimate
35.9 babies
11
comments
62
forecasters
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
5%
chance
9
comments
46
forecasters
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
9
comments
58
forecasters
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
chance
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