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43 comments
525 forecasters

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

resultYes
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?

55%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Current estimate
Mar 2035
17 comments
38 forecasters

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

Current estimate
Oct 2034
25 comments
78 forecasters

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

16%chance
2 comments
31 forecasters

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance
14 comments
117 forecasters

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Current estimate
35.9 babies
11 comments
62 forecasters

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

5%chance
9 comments
46 forecasters

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Current estimate
Mar 2032
9 comments
58 forecasters

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance