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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?

Jun 2048

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

resultYes

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

Jan 2034

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Sep 2032

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

Oct 2034

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

21
6 comments6
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

80%chance

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Ambiguous