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When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

1
0 comments
21
21 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

23 Nov 2026 (17 Nov 2026 10:17 - 05 Dec 2026)

5
3535 comments
41
41 forecasters
23 Nov 2026
(17 Nov 2026 10:17 - 05 Dec 2026)

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

67 Index Score (65 - 69)

44 comments
90
90 forecasters
67 Index Score
(65 - 69)

When will these CEOs no longer be CEO?

7
66 comments
10
10 forecasters

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

13
5353 comments
76
76 forecasters

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

30 Jun 2030 (06 Feb 2028 - Jun 2036)

221
678678 comments
1.9k
1.9k forecasters
30 Jun 2030
(06 Feb 2028 - Jun 2036)

Will Jensen Huang deliver the keynote at Nvidia GTC Washington, D.C. before December 4, 2026?

0 comments
6
6 forecasters
%chance

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

75% chance

1
55 comments
101
101 forecasters
75%chance

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies?

1414 comments
48
48 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

5% chance

1313 comments
113
113 forecasters
5%chance

What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies?

1
2020 comments
53
53 forecasters

Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?

49% chance

1
1010 comments
10
10 forecasters
49%chance

Will OpenAI publicly release or announce a new GPT model on October 15 or 16, 2026?

result: no

244244 comments
244
244 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will a Chinese frontier model cross the U.S. AI frontier by at least 2 ECI points before 2029?

20% chance

22 comments
17
17 forecasters
20%chance

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

98% chance

1
1717 comments
51
51 forecasters
98%chance

Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?

1.5% chance

99 comments
812
812 forecasters
1.5%chance

Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck before January 1, 2027?

1.4% chance

2
11 comment
36
36 forecasters
1.4%chance

What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?

239 $ (239 - 240)

1
1212 comments
111
111 forecasters
239 $
(239 - 240)

Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026?

result: no

4
1313 comments
258
258 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will any US federal or state government entity sue OpenAI over the July 2026 Hugging Face incident before July 2027?

24% chance

88 comments
35
35 forecasters
24%chance

Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?

88 comments
124
124 forecasters

AI IPO Windfall: Forecasting Funding by Cause Area

3
11 comment