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0 comments
99 forecasters

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

11 comments
64 forecasters

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

0 comments

By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?

82 comments
81 forecasters

Will the interest in "taiwan" be greater on 2025-09-10 than on 2025-09-03 according to Google Trends?

resultNo
10 comments
34 forecasters

What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?

Current estimate
22.4%
378 comments
882 forecasters

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

41 comments
1.5k forecasters

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

60%chance
30 comments
89 forecasters

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

resultNo
1 comment
47 forecasters

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

Annulled
7 comments
403 forecasters

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?

10%chance