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0
comments
3
forecasters
By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?
30%
chance
12.9%
this week
379
comments
886
forecasters
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
18
comments
190
forecasters
Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?
result
No
46
comments
29
forecasters
Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?
result
No
33
comments
264
forecasters
Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024?
result
No
0
comments
99
forecasters
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
8%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
condition
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
33
forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
60%
60%
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
67%
67%
5
0
comments
33
33
forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
33
comments
188
forecasters
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
50%
chance
23
comments
166
forecasters
If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?
65%
chance
41
comments
1.5k
forecasters
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
60%
chance
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