Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
0
comments
99
forecasters
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
8%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
11
comments
64
forecasters
On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?
0
comments
By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?
82
comments
81
forecasters
Will the interest in "taiwan" be greater on 2025-09-10 than on 2025-09-03 according to Google Trends?
result
No
10
comments
34
forecasters
What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?
Current estimate
22.4%
378
comments
882
forecasters
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
41
comments
1.5k
forecasters
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
60%
chance
30
comments
89
forecasters
Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?
result
No
1
comment
47
forecasters
Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?
Annulled
7
comments
403
forecasters
Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?
10%
chance
Load More