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2
comments
58
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
49
comments
251
forecasters
Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?
85%
chance
91
comments
1.7k
forecasters
Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?
24%
chance
43
comments
166
forecasters
When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?
Current estimate
Apr 2054
23
comments
125
forecasters
When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?
Current estimate
2552
16
comments
109
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
25
comments
65
forecasters
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?
0.1%
chance
35
comments
292
forecasters
Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?
28%
chance
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