Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
18
comments
203
forecasters
Will we find life on Mars by 2050?
10%
chance
89
comments
1.6k
forecasters
Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?
20%
chance
35
comments
288
forecasters
Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?
28%
chance
16
comments
108
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
2
comments
79
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
26
comments
65
forecasters
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?
0.5%
chance
11
comments
130
forecasters
Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?
55%
chance
43
comments
165
forecasters
When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?
Current estimate
Feb 2053
0
comments
47
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
38
comments
63
forecasters
If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?
Latest estimate
2.97
This question is closed for forecasting.
Load More