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49
comments
251
forecasters
Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?
85%
chance
91
comments
1.6k
forecasters
Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?
23%
chance
2
comments
93
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
16
comments
109
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
35
comments
291
forecasters
Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?
28.4%
chance
8
comments
59
forecasters
If we find life on an icy moon of the gas giants by 2200, will we also find evidence of macrofauna?
12%
chance
11
comments
131
forecasters
Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?
55%
chance
38
comments
63
forecasters
If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?
Latest estimate
2.97
This question is closed for forecasting.
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