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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
49 comments
251 forecasters

Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?

85%chance
91 comments
1.6k forecasters

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

23%chance
2 comments
93 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance
18 comments
124 forecasters

A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?

resultNo
0 comments
48 forecasters

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance
16 comments
109 forecasters

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Europa36%
Mars35%
Enceladus10%
35 comments
291 forecasters

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

28.4%chance
8 comments
59 forecasters

If we find life on an icy moon of the gas giants by 2200, will we also find evidence of macrofauna?

12%chance
11 comments
131 forecasters

Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?

55%chance
38 comments
63 forecasters

If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?

Latest estimate
2.97

This question is closed for forecasting.