Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?20% chance333636 comments294294 forecasters20%chance
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?162222 comments114114 forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?result: no344 comments6060 forecastersResolvedNo
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?result: no81818 comments124124 forecastersResolvedNo
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?1% chance50 comments5151 forecasters1%chance
If we find life on an icy moon of the gas giants by 2200, will we also find evidence of macrofauna?12% chance888 comments5959 forecasters12%chance
If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?2.97 (2.01 - 5.8)93838 comments6363 forecasters2.97 (2.01 - 5.8)
Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?22% chance549191 comments2k2k forecasters22%chance
Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?50% chance291111 comments135135 forecasters50%chance
Interstellar Material Discovered at IM1 Site? → Evidence of Alien Tech Recovered at IM1 Site?222 comments1515 forecasters
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?0.1% chance42525 comments7070 forecasters0.1%chance
When will the first human be born on another world?Aug 2068 (Aug 2044 - 2144)271010 comments145145 forecastersAug 2068 (Aug 2044 - 2144)
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?164343 comments6868 forecasters
When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?Aug 2073 (Aug 2052 - 2099)111717 comments4444 forecastersAug 2073 (Aug 2052 - 2099)
When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?2611 (2081 - >9999)202323 comments125125 forecasters2611 (2081 - >9999)
To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?result: no832424 comments301301 forecastersResolvedNo
When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?Jul 2055 (Nov 2036 - 2185)224444 comments169169 forecastersJul 2055 (Nov 2036 - 2185)
Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?1% chance637070 comments588588 forecasters1%chance
Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?90% chance514949 comments256256 forecasters90%chance