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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
3 comments
20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
2 comments
11 forecasters

When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?

Current estimate
Oct 2043
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
35 comments
154 forecasters

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
11 comments
61 forecasters

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

resultNo
6 comments
118 forecasters

Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?

resultNo
4 comments
3 forecasters

How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?

Current estimate
4.63 CRT
22 comments
144 forecasters

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

resultYes
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%chance