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3
comments
20
forecasters
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
2
comments
11
forecasters
When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?
Current estimate
Oct 2043
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
35
comments
154
forecasters
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
54%
chance
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
11
comments
61
forecasters
Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?
result
No
6
comments
118
forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
4
comments
3
forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
4.63 CRT
22
comments
144
forecasters
Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?
result
Yes
0
comments
28
forecasters
Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?
80%
chance
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