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2 comments
12 forecasters

When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?

Current estimate
Dec 2043
1 comment
45 forecasters

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

resultNo
22 comments
144 forecasters

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

resultYes
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
5 comments
4 forecasters

How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?

Current estimate
1.94 CRT
8 comments
17 forecasters

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

20%chance
11 comments
61 forecasters

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

resultNo
27 comments
95 forecasters

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Current estimate
Dec 2030
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%chance