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2 comments
12 forecasters

When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?

Current estimate
Sep 2043
3 comments
20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
11 comments
61 forecasters

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

resultNo
35 comments
155 forecasters

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
5 comments
4 forecasters

How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?

Current estimate
1.94 CRT
6 comments
118 forecasters

Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?

resultNo
22 comments
144 forecasters

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

resultYes
27 comments
95 forecasters

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Current estimate
Dec 2030
9 comments
50 forecasters

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

resultYes