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2
comments
12
forecasters
When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?
Current estimate
Sep 2043
3
comments
20
forecasters
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
11
comments
61
forecasters
Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?
result
No
35
comments
155
forecasters
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
54%
chance
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
5
comments
4
forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
1.94 CRT
6
comments
118
forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
22
comments
144
forecasters
Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?
result
Yes
27
comments
95
forecasters
When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?
Current estimate
Dec 2030
9
comments
50
forecasters
Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?
result
Yes
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