0 comments
86 forecasters
Between 2025-10-15 and 2025-12-31 (inclusive, UTC), will at least 7 CISA KEV entries affecting Microsoft Windows be added?
52%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
105 forecasters
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
33 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH30%
Google Cloud16%
Microsoft Azure13%
2 comments
40 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%
Contributed by the AI Warning Signs community.
4 comments
13 forecasters
Will an AI system self-replicate on the open internet like a computer virus before 2030?
70%chance
15% this week
3 comments
2 forecasters
Will a frontier AI developer publicly accuse a Russian actor of stealing their model weights before 2030?
60%chance
10% this week
13 comments
132 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%chance
2 comments
22 forecasters
Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024?
Inflectionresult: No
Metaresult: No
OpenAIresult: No
