Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Health & Pandemics

Computing and Math

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Sports & Entertainment

🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Social Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Cryptocurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for June 2026?

331 (330 - 331)

5

5 forecasters

331

(330 - 331)

What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months?

3

21

21 forecasters

How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026?

27.4k Building Permits (26.7k - 28.6k)

3

105

105 forecasters

Resolved27.049k Building Permits

When will general-purpose robots be able to build a small house on their own?

Sep 2032 (18 Nov 2030 - >Dec 2035)

15

15 forecasters

Sep 2032

(18 Nov 2030 - >Dec 2035)

What will be the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage for the week ending August 27, 2026?

2

4

4 forecasters

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? → What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2027, according to Zillow?

1

1

1 forecaster

When will the monthly price change for property in the UK be -5% or less?

Jun 2035 (Sep 2032 - >Dec 2035)

1

3

3 forecasters

Jun 2035

(Sep 2032 - >Dec 2035)

What will be the annual average seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following years?

5

10

10 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 28.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025?"?

result: no

96

96 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

result: no

33

1.1k

1.1k forecasters

ResolvedNo

What will be the reported value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for April 2025?

74

74 forecasters

Will the number of new single family homes for sale in the US exceed 550 thousand in May 2025?

result: no

76

76 forecasters

ResolvedNo

How many acts of financial difficulty will the Quebec Land Register report for May 2025?

70

70 forecasters

Will construction begin on at least 200 affordable (≤60% AMI) rental units in Pensacola by December 31, 2027?

%chance

What will be the reported value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for March 2025?

76

76 forecasters

What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?

1.46M (1.4M - 1.5M)

29

29 forecasters

Resolved1.456M

What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?

1.48M (1.46M - 1.5M)

4

422

422 forecasters

Resolved1.456M

What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2026, according to Zillow?

0.55% (-0.422 - 1.5)

1

9

9 forecasters

0.55%

(-0.422 - 1.5)

What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2027, according to Zillow?

0.738% (-1.21 - 2.55)

1

5

5 forecasters

0.738%

(-1.21 - 2.55)

What percentage of the population of the Czech Republic will live in a property they own in 2024?

76.2 (75.3 - 77.2)

33

33 forecasters

Resolved74.7

Will the US Housing Market crash in 2023?

result: no

3

38

38 forecasters

ResolvedNo

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

8

29

29 forecasters