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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

37.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1313 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
0 comments
96 forecasters

Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?

72.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
14 comments
85 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind13%
Microsoft5%
xAI3%
0 comments
10 forecasters

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

0 comments
7 forecasters

How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?

202551.7
202649.6
202749

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
4141 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
0 comments
29 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH16%
Microsoft Azure14%
Google Cloud12%