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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
3
3
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
0
comments
99
forecasters
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
37.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
4
13
13
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
0
comments
96
forecasters
Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?
72.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
14
comments
85
forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
13%
Microsoft
5%
xAI
3%
14 others
0
comments
10
forecasters
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?
0
comments
7
forecasters
How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?
2025
51.7
2026
49.6
2027
49
1 other
Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup
5
41
41
comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
0
comments
29
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
16%
Microsoft Azure
14%
Google Cloud
12%
1 other
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