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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
3 comments
32 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

2 comments
3 forecasters

Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?

Judy Shelton25.9%
Larry Kudlow25.1%
Kevin Hassett18.8%
5 comments
25 forecasters

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

resultYes

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

13 forecasters
if yes
if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

50%
50%

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

19%
19%
1
0 comments
13
13 forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

15%chance
23% this week
8 comments
48 forecasters

What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?

Current estimate
157B $
14 comments
31 forecasters

On how many days in the following years will China carry out โ€œreactionaryโ€ air incursions into Taiwanโ€™s air defense identification zone?

0 comments
32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud20%
Microsoft Azure14%

Contributed by the AI Warning Signs community.

2 comments
11 forecasters

Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?

62.8%chance