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6 comments
11 forecasters

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

34%chance
46% this week

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
25 comments
9 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

0 comments
33 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH30%
Google Cloud16%
Microsoft Azure13%
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%
18 comments
80 forecasters

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

1%chance
1% this week

Key Factors

0 comments
7 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, will the Labour Party poll 4th place or worse in the UK, according to Politico's average?

41%chance

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
11 comments
118 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

95%chance