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Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

7
22 comments
53
53 forecasters

Introducing the Labor Automation Forecasting Hub

9
11 comment

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q1: Winners and Some Surprising Results

4
55 comments

Announcing the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026 With Dylan Matthews!

11
3333 comments

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

33 comments
104
104 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

13% chance

2
77 comments
38
38 forecasters
13%chance

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

7
11 comment
24
24 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

8
2323 comments
29
29 forecasters

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

2
1717 comments
30
30 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

8
1313 comments
36
36 forecasters

Will the USD fraction of allocated global foreign exchange currencies be below 50% before the following years?

8
77 comments
43
43 forecasters

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

11
0 comments

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

4
55 comments
44
44 forecasters

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

75% chance

8
55 comments
392
392 forecasters
75%chance

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9
1111 comments

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

50.1% chance

44 comments
13
13 forecasters
50.1%chance

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

14
1919 comments
102
102 forecasters

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6
1717 comments
27
27 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

87.7% chance

4
1111 comments
132
132 forecasters
87.7%chance

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

3
44 comments
6
6 forecasters

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

6
1717 comments
32
32 forecasters

What percent of US GDP will come from manufacturing in the first half of 2028?

9.52% (8.79 - 10.2)

11 comment
130
130 forecasters
9.52%
(8.79 - 10.2)

What will be the annual revenue for the average 20kWh home battery trading on the Dutch frequency imbalance market in 2028?

1118 โ‚ฌ (954 - 1287)

1
22 comments
3
3 forecasters
1118 โ‚ฌ
(954 - 1287)