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2 comments
26 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

35 comments
120 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

25%chance
31% this week

Key Factors

1 comment
9 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

15%chance
23% this week
0 comments
32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud20%
Microsoft Azure14%

Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens

3
55 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q4
1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
AMEC30%
7 comments
35 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance
23 comments
29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No
11 comments
115 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

94%chance
4 comments
29 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?