What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments1616 forecasters
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states?10 comments3232 forecasters
Will Donald Trump declare a national emergency related to election integrity before November 3, 2026?31% chance0 comments3333 forecasters31%chance
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?50418418 comments1.2k1.2k forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?198282 comments235235 forecasters
Will the U.S. Congress limit presidential war powers before January 3, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments2929 forecasters
Will federal courts block the USPS mail-in ballot restrictions before Election Day?62% chance0 comments2929 forecasters62%chance
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on January 20, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments2424 forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?61584584 comments1.2k1.2k forecasters
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?10 comments5959 forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?21238238 comments223223 forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?21414 comments1616 forecasters
Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?41010 comments2929 forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?91616 comments3838 forecasters
What will the voter turnout be in the 2026 United States midterm election?48% (42.9 - 51.2)222 comments1111 forecasters48% (42.9 - 51.2)
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?192828 comments561561 forecasters
Will widespread non-citizen voting occur in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections?1% chance-288 comments3232 forecasters1%chance
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?7% (6.5 - 7.5)0 comments99 forecasters7% (6.5 - 7.5)
Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?157373 comments314314 forecasters
Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?1155 comments117117 forecasters