Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
Contributed by the
Adjacent
community.
4
comments
9
forecasters
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?
85%
chance
10%
this week
73
comments
83
forecasters
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
Sam Bankman-Fried
result:
Yes
Caroline Ellison
result:
Yes
Gary Wang
result:
Yes
2 others
85
comments
2.9k
forecasters
On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?
5%
chance
4%
this week
19
comments
62
forecasters
When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?
Current estimate
>Dec 2030
90
comments
137
forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
Current estimate
300 months
7
comments
34
forecasters
Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?
53%
chance
3
comments
112
forecasters
Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024?
result
No
5
comments
10
forecasters
How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?
Current estimate
74.6 months
11
comments
67
forecasters
What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)
Current estimate
5527 billion $
20
comments
54
forecasters
Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?
result
Yes
Load More