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US Democracy Index

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How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

Current estimate

300 months

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

4 comments

8 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

90%chance

73 comments

115 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes

Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes

Gary Wangresult: Yes

7 comments

32 forecasters

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

56%chance

19 comments

61 forecasters

When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?

Current estimate

>Dec 2030

3 comments

112 forecasters

Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024?

resultNo

85 comments

3k forecasters

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

15%chance

11 comments

67 forecasters

What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)

Current estimate

5251 billion $

5 comments

10 forecasters

How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?

Current estimate

72.7 months

7 comments

45 forecasters

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

resultYes