• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

The Market Pulse Challenge 26Q3 is Live!

1
55 comments

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

7
11 comment
25
25 forecasters

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2: Can You Beat the Market and the Crowd?

7
3232 comments

Metaculus and Markets: Whatโ€™s the Difference?

10
0 comments

What will Kalshi's rank in the iPhone Top Free Finance Apps be on March 31, 2025?

8888 comments
31
31 forecasters

Will Adani Enterprises regain a total market cap of $50B before 2028?

19% chance

4
55 comments
14
14 forecasters
19%chance

Short-term increase in Market Volatility?

result: no

3
11 comment
33
33 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Is market volatility set to strongly increase?

result: no

6
44 comments
33
33 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Community Trader Election

11
2323 comments

Trading Plan for the Trade Signal Tournament

11
2828 comments

Equity Premium Puzzles

14
0 comments

Can Metaculus Create A Trading Signal?

0 comments

Lots of predictions from Fortune that could be Metaculized

0 comments

Cryptocurrency competition status

0 comments

Join the Market Pulse Challenge: $7,500 in Prizes

30
11 comment

๐Ÿ“ˆMarket Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
66 comments

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2โ€™s Edge Hold?

7
0 comments

Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens

3
55 comments

Market Pulse 26Q1 Opening Bell: Building Consistent Signal

2121 comments

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9
1111 comments

Introducing: Conflict-Driven Interest

14
66 comments

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q1: Winners and Some Surprising Results

4
55 comments