• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q1: Winners and Some Surprising Results

4
55 comments

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2: Can You Beat the Market and the Crowd?

7
2828 comments

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

7
11 comment
24
24 forecasters

Will Biren or Moore Threads be publicly traded before 2028?

6
77 comments
25
25 forecasters

Metaculus and Markets: Whatโ€™s the Difference?

10
0 comments

๐Ÿ“ˆMarket Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
77 comments

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9
1111 comments

Market Pulse 26Q1 Opening Bell: Building Consistent Signal

2121 comments

Is market volatility set to strongly increase?

result: no

6
44 comments
33
33 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Short-term increase in Market Volatility?

result: no

3
11 comment
33
33 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Adani Enterprises regain a total market cap of $50B before 2028?

20% chance

4
55 comments
15
15 forecasters
20%chance

What will Kalshi's rank in the iPhone Top Free Finance Apps be on March 31, 2025?

8888 comments
31
31 forecasters

Community Trader Election

11
2323 comments

Trading Plan for the Trade Signal Tournament

11
2828 comments

Equity Premium Puzzles

14
0 comments

Can Metaculus Create A Trading Signal?

0 comments

Lots of predictions from Fortune that could be Metaculized

0 comments

Cryptocurrency competition status

0 comments

Join the Market Pulse Challenge: $7,500 in Prizes

30
11 comment

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2โ€™s Edge Hold?

7
0 comments

Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens

3
55 comments

Introducing: Conflict-Driven Interest

14
66 comments