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Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

2 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

19%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%

1 1 comment

2 forecasters

3 comments

48 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Current estimate

Revealed

tomorrow

0 comments

98 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments

63 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

8%chance

6% this week

32 comments

95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

82 comments

161 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%

Haiti74%

Mali62%

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

19 19 comments

Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

21 comments

73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%

Saudi Arabia2%

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

21 comments

48 forecasters

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

resultYes

78 comments

2.1k forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

14%chance