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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
32 comments
95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled
LebanonAnnulled
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
21 comments
48 forecasters

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

resultYes
7 comments
33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%
Estonia30%
Poland30%
20 comments
76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance
7 comments
28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance
8% this week
0 comments
53 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?

22%chance
5 comments
86 forecasters

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

9 comments
109 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran64%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea7%
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2.5%
Japan1%
5 comments
38 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

45%chance