• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

38%
38%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%
28%
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
5 comments
80 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance
3% this week

Key Factors

10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
11 comments
15 forecasters

Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?

10%chance
23 comments
169 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1%chance
29 comments
32 forecasters

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

community
120
result
118.88

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict

10
88 comments
Israel-Gaza Conflict

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
11 comment
Israel-Gaza Conflict