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When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

8
1616 comments
15
15 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1% chance

9
2323 comments
174
174 forecasters
1%chance

Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?

13% chance

1
1111 comments
21
21 forecasters
13%chance

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

120 (108 - 128)

6
2929 comments
32
32 forecasters
120
(108 - 128)

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

16
4343 comments
68
68 forecasters

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
11 comment

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-25

9
33 comments

War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

16
66 comments

Predicting Russia's Failure

3
1414 comments

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
11 comment

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
11 comment

Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict

10
88 comments

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments

Questions from the IARPA forecasting competition

0 comments

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
22 comments