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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
43 comments
65 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States51%
China35%
Israel10%
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
23 comments
170 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1%chance
11 comments
15 forecasters

Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?

12%chance
29 comments
32 forecasters

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

community
120
result
118.88

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict

10
88 comments
Israel-Gaza Conflict

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
11 comment
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
11 comment
Metaculus Journal Archives