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When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

8
1616 comments
15
15 forecasters

Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?

5% chance

1
1111 comments
19
19 forecasters
5%chance

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

120 (108 - 128)

6
2929 comments
32
32 forecasters
Resolved118.88

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

16
4343 comments
69
69 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1% chance

9
2323 comments
173
173 forecasters
1%chance

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
11 comment

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-25

9
33 comments

War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

16
66 comments

Predicting Russia's Failure

3
1414 comments

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
11 comment

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
11 comment

Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict

10
88 comments

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments

Questions from the IARPA forecasting competition

0 comments

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
22 comments