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condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
19%
19%
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
28%
28%
1
1
comment
2
2
forecasters
5
comments
63
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
8%
chance
6%
this week
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
23
comments
170
forecasters
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
chance
11
comments
15
forecasters
Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?
12%
chance
43
comments
65
forecasters
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
51%
China
35%
Israel
10%
6 others
29
comments
32
forecasters
What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?
community
120
result
118.88
Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras
11
3
3
comments
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
10
10
10
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict
10
8
8
comments
Israel-Gaza Conflict
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