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condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
38%
38%
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
28%
28%
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
9
comments
111
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
50%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
7 others
21
comments
74
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Poland
1%
6 others
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
5
comments
37
forecasters
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30%
chance
Key Factors
Russian drones violated Polish airspace
43
comments
66
forecasters
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
55%
China
35%
Israel
10%
6 others
condition
NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?
45
forecasters
if yes
if no
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
20%
20%
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
2%
2%
4
3
3
comments
45
45
forecasters
210
comments
230
forecasters
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
result:
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
20
comments
76
forecasters
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
12%
chance
Key Factors
China needs water. Russia's Lake Baikal holds 20% of global surface fresh water.
82
comments
162
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
74%
Mali
62.5%
70 others
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