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Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

15% this week

7 comments

33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%

Estonia30%

Poland30%

7 comments

28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance

8% this week

21 comments

73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%

Saudi Arabia2.5%

Japan1%

9 comments

109 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran64%

Saudi Arabia15%

South Korea7%

20 comments

76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance

82 comments

159 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%

Haiti74%

Mali61%

condition

46 forecasters

210 comments

230 forecasters

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes

Niger67%

Haiti60%

10 comments

14 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?