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Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous

LatviaAmbiguous

LithuaniaAmbiguous

7 comments

33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%

Estonia30%

Poland30%

7 comments

28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance

8% this week

20 comments

76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance

21 comments

73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%

Saudi Arabia2.5%

Japan1%

9 comments

109 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran64%

Saudi Arabia15%

South Korea9%

12 comments

80 forecasters

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

19%chance

4% this week

82 comments

159 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%

Haiti74%

Mali61%

condition

46 forecasters

62 comments

409 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

3%chance

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?