34 comments
104 forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
47.5 Deaths
9 comments
15 forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H1N152.5
H3N242.1
H5<0.1
44 comments
434 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%chance
12 comments
215 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Current estimate
56.4M birds
2 comments
65 forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40%chance
6% this week
7 comments
194 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%chance
23 comments
413 forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
35%chance