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US Democracy Index

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Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

90%

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

4 4 comments

4 forecasters

252 comments

1.6k forecasters

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

29%chance

81 comments

624 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance

85 comments

283 forecasters

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

95%chance

2% this week

17 comments

65 forecasters

How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?

community

47.1

result

21.4

54 comments

283 forecasters

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

52%chance

9 comments

78 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance

23 comments

413 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance

4 comments

88 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%chance

10 comments

119 forecasters

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

What will the world population be in the following years?

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

What will the world population be in the following years?