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82 comments
626 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
254 comments
1.6k forecasters

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

25%chance

Key Factors

3 comments
5 forecasters

How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?

Engineering4575
Physics548
Microbiology and immunology543
condition

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

4 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

90%
90%

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

8%
8%
44 comments
4
4 forecasters
6 comments
33 forecasters

What will be the world population in the following years?

6 comments
34 forecasters

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

15%chance
17 comments
65 forecasters

How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?

community
47.1
result
21.4
9 comments
76 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance
7 comments
101 forecasters

What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years?

54 comments
284 forecasters

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

50%chance