Question Feed | Metaculus

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Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

28%chance

6 comments

16 forecasters

What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?

Epigenetic reprogramming130

Senolytics93

Ozempic82.9

7 comments

16 forecasters

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

Current estimate

2145

16 comments

44 forecasters

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

21%chance

8% this week

8 comments

13 forecasters

When will the next person reach 120 years of age?

Current estimate

Jan 2038

4 comments

87 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%chance

5% this week

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments

9 forecasters

Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?

48%chance

17 comments

65 forecasters

How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?

community

47.1

result

21.4

3 comments

20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate

17 Jul 2030

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

1 comment

16 forecasters

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

17%chance