Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?40173173 comments281281 forecasters
Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu before 2027?7% chance644 comments8080 forecasters7%chance
When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved for sale in the US?06 Mar 2027 (20 Mar 2026 - 05 Aug 2028)81616 comments6969 forecasters06 Mar 2027 (20 Mar 2026 - 05 Aug 2028)
What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?0.013% (0.00458 - 0.0534)499 comments6464 forecasters0.013% (0.00458 - 0.0534)
When Will India Approve Its First Novel Food Application For A Cultivated Meat?23 Dec 2026 (29 Jun 2026 - 19 Jun 2027)0 comments11 forecaster23 Dec 2026 (29 Jun 2026 - 19 Jun 2027)
Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?50% chance44 comments99 forecasters50%chance
Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?20% chance733 comments6363 forecasters20%chance
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?54% chance91313 comments8282 forecastersAmbiguous