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55
comments
563
forecasters
Will the Universe end?
59%
chance
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
6
comments
57
forecasters
Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?
result
No
4
comments
42
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
14%
chance
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?
6.9%
chance
11
comments
31
forecasters
Do we live in a false vacuum?
50%
chance
0
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?
Current estimate
1023 events
Our Life Underneath a Chaotic Orbital Environment: The Relationship Between Space Debris and Space Utilization
11
0
comments
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
0
comments
9
forecasters
Will the existence and smoothness properties of the Navier-Stokes equations in three dimensions turn out to depend on the compactness of the universe over which they are defined?
49.2%
chance
2
comments
57
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics
community
32.7
result
19.42
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