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9
comments
47
forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
4
comments
33
forecasters
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30%
chance
10%
this week
5
comments
11
forecasters
When will these countries adopt the Euro?
00
78
comments
641
forecasters
Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?
result
Yes
52
comments
93
forecasters
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
85%
17 others
90
comments
187
forecasters
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
80%
13 others
32
comments
48
forecasters
Who will be the first long-term President of Russia after Putin?
Mikhail Mishustin
13%
Nikolai Patrushev
3%
Dmitry Medvedev
3%
11 others
13
comments
91
forecasters
Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?
40%
chance
1
comment
50
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
76%
chance
17
comments
140
forecasters
Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?
12%
chance
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