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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
90 comments
187 forecasters

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske99%
Velyka Novosilka99%
Kostyantynivka85%
1 comment
72 forecasters

Will the EU import at least 19 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in the second half of 2025?

9%chance
4% this week

Key Factors

5 comments
81 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

Key Factors

10 comments
65 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

52 comments
93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87.5%
Albania85%
78 comments
641 forecasters

Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?

resultYes
32 comments
49 forecasters

Who will be the first long-term President of Russia after Putin?

Mikhail Mishustin10.1%
Dmitry Medvedev4.6%
Nikolai Patrushev3%
4 comments
79 forecasters

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

0.1%chance
7 comments
63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance