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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
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comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12
comments
33
forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
8%
chance
11
comments
82
forecasters
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?
1%
chance
Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series
7
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comments
Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions
15
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2022 Scott Alexander predictions
The Expansion of Executive War Powers
6
3
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comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Future Perfect 2021 Series
7
1
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Future Perfect 2021 Series