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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

10
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12 comments
33 forecasters

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

8%chance
11 comments
82 forecasters

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

1%chance

Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series

7
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Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
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2022 Scott Alexander predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
11 comment
Future Perfect 2021 Series