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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?

10%chance
14 comments
35 forecasters

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

10%chance
11 comments
82 forecasters

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

1%chance

Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series

7
0 comments

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
0 comments
2022 Scott Alexander predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
11 comment
Future Perfect 2021 Series