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$10,000 Prize Pool for the U.S. Democracy Threat Index

23
2020 comments

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

7% chance

2
1515 comments
42
42 forecasters
7%chance

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

1% chance

2
1111 comments
84
84 forecasters
1%chance

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
11 comment

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
0 comments

Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series

7
0 comments