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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
13
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
8
comments
80
forecasters
Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions?
result
No
12
comments
33
forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%
chance
0
comments
3
forecasters
Which of the following parties will be part of the next Israeli government formed following the next Knesset election?
Bennett 2026
70%
Yisrael Beiteinu
67%
Yesh Atid
66%
8 others
The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times
13
1
1
comment
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Competing Institutional Solutions to Housing Supply Restrictions
11
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
The Expansion of Executive War Powers
6
3
3
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021
21
13
13
comments
Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021
Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?
8
20
20
comments