18 comments
73 forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi69.7%
Qatar30.1%
São Paulo0.1%
Key Factors
8 comments
24 forecasters
Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?
An uncrewed craft75%
At least one person36%
At least one person—and return them to Earth20%
10 comments
92 forecasters
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?
97 comments
184 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
3 comments
12 forecasters
What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
70.6%
29 comments
162 forecasters
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
25%chance
5% this week