Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?result: no1344 comments131131 forecastersResolvedNo
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?result: no2977 comments132132 forecastersResolvedNo
Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?result: no111212 comments112112 forecastersResolvedNo
How many "China specialist" articles (career reviews, podcasts, blog posts, etc) will 80,000 Hours publish between Feb 15th, 2022 and Dec 31st, 2023?Annulled11010 comments5353 forecastersAnnulled
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q4 - More animals will be killed for US human consumption in 2019 than in 2018result: yes113030 comments8181 forecastersResolvedYes
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q2 - US homicides will declineresult: yes655 comments7878 forecastersResolvedYes
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q3 - Average world temperatures will increase relative to 2018result: yes988 comments8484 forecastersResolvedYes
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q1 - The United Kingdom will leave the European Union in 2019?result: no212626 comments122122 forecastersResolvedNo
Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?result: no1211 comment8181 forecastersResolvedNo