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Announcing: the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026 Winners!

5

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

result: yes

43

238

238 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Announcing: Epoch AI Robotics Series

8

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8

Human-Level Language Models

36

Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?

result: no

11

112

112 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?

result: no

29

132

132 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?

result: no

13

131

131 forecasters

ResolvedNo

How many "China specialist" articles (career reviews, podcasts, blog posts, etc) will 80,000 Hours publish between Feb 15th, 2022 and Dec 31st, 2023?

2.14 (<1 - 3.61)

1

53

53 forecasters

2.14

(<1 - 3.61)

Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q4 - More animals will be killed for US human consumption in 2019 than in 2018

result: yes

11

81

81 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q2 - US homicides will decline

result: yes

6

78

78 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q3 - Average world temperatures will increase relative to 2018

result: yes

9

84

84 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q1 - The United Kingdom will leave the European Union in 2019?

result: no

21

122

122 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?

result: no

12

81

81 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31

Animal Welfare Series

11

Foresight 2020

17

Future Perfect 2020 Series

7

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

5

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7

Global Trends 2022 with The Economist

6

2022 Resolutions: Predict with Public Figures

12