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Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

10
no comments0
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Forecast the Minimum Wage in Colombia: $1,000 Prize Pool

2
no comments0
Colombia Wage Watch
condition

CTs Deep Learning Revenue

16 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

68%
68%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

1%
1%
3
1 comment1
Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Introducing Comments of the Week

14
20 comments20

Platform feature suggestions

112
3025 comments3025
Metaculus Meta

Join Foresight’s AI Pathways Tournament: $5,000 Comment Prize

8
1 comment1
AI Pathways Tournament

Will a city with a population of over 1 million successfully use a quadratic funding mechanism to allocate public funds for infrastructure projects before 2031?

Key Factor

Several cities acting as tech testing grounds are excluded

12%chance
13% this week

Key Factor

Several cities acting as tech testing grounds are excluded

Experimental Feature: Question Links

9
5 comments5

Questions & Support Thread

4
2 comments2
City of Gulf Breeze Forecasting Contest

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

5%chance