2 comments
46 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
05 Nov 2025 01:07
95 comments
95 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 19.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
resultNo
2 comments
40 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%
6 comments
80 forecasters
Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?
54%chance
Key Factors