Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
97 comments
183 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Sep 2031
Contributed by the AI Warning Signs community.
2 comments
11 forecasters
Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?
62.8%chance
