• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

9
11 comment

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "the average production cost of cultured (chicken) per kg" by 2051

Current estimate
97 comments
184 forecasters

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Current estimate
Mar 2032

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index