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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

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Platform feature suggestions

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Metaculus Meta

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

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AI Pathways Tournament

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

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If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

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Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

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Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "the average production cost of cultured (chicken) per kg" by 2051

Current estimate

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

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184 forecasters

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Current estimate
Mar 2032

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

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Respiratory Outlook 2025/26

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

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U.S. Democracy Threat Index