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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

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Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

In Dec 2026, what will be the median of experts' beliefs about the animal welfare benefit of investing in cultured meat relative to other animal welfare interventions?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

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What is the animal welfare benefit of having donated $100k in 2026 to fund the development of cultured meat relative to having donated the same amount to The Humane League's corporate campaigns?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days

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Metaculus Meta

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

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15 forecasters

What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
82 score

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

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Respiratory Outlook 2025/26

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

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12 forecasters

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

15%chance
10% this week

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

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If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate