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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

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11 comment
2 comments
28 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

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11 comment

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

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0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3 comments
5 forecasters

When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
9 forecasters

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
0.543%

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
55 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

1 comment
9 forecasters

What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
82.6%

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

8
4646 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025