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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
17 comments
145 forecasters

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

8%chance
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

5%chance
17 comments
200 forecasters

Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?

resultNo
26 comments
196 forecasters

Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?

resultNo
2 comments
52 forecasters

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

resultNo
11 comments
97 forecasters

Conditional on Russia attacking Ukraine with at least one nuclear weapon before 2024, will Russia use at least one nuclear weapon on Kyiv before 2024?

Annulled
9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
21 comments
74 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Ukraine1%
20 comments
33 forecasters

If Russia detonates a nuclear device offensively before 2024, which cities will be ongoing battlegrounds at that time?

SevastopolAnnulled
Luhansk cityAnnulled
DzhankoiAnnulled
290 comments
735 forecasters

Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?

resultNo