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Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11% chance

4
2626 comments
49
49 forecasters
11%chance

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems

52.7 (38 - 67.8)

9
44 comments
59
59 forecasters
52.7
(38 - 67.8)

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

6
77 comments
16
16 forecasters

When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?

11 May 2021 (04 Apr 2021 - 12 Jul 2021)

2
1111 comments
40
40 forecasters
11 May 2021
(04 Apr 2021 - 12 Jul 2021)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Is mind uploading thought to amount to death?

52.6 (37.1 - 66.9)

5
22 comments
55
55 forecasters
52.6
(37.1 - 66.9)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Immortality - would philosophers choose it?

45.4 (28.8 - 62.2)

6
1111 comments
66
66 forecasters
45.4
(28.8 - 62.2)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Biological-ness of race

32.4 (21 - 46)

4
11 comment
54
54 forecasters
32.4
(21 - 46)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics

32.7 (22.4 - 45.1)

4
22 comments
57
57 forecasters
32.7
(22.4 - 45.1)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering

55.8 (43.5 - 68.4)

8
22 comments
57
57 forecasters
55.8
(43.5 - 68.4)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Impermissibility of eating animals and animal products

42.7 (30.2 - 56.6)

13
1414 comments
65
65 forecasters
42.7
(30.2 - 56.6)

Slate Star Codex Survey Mini-Series: Less support for psychiatric commitment among the committed?

result: yes

3
1313 comments
49
49 forecasters
ResolvedYes

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Support for open borders

40.8 (27.7 - 56.4)

5
33 comments
53
53 forecasters
40.8
(27.7 - 56.4)

Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?

9.46×10⁻⁴% (6.61×10⁻⁸ - 0.087)

28
1010 comments
164
164 forecasters
9.46×10⁻⁴%
(6.61×10⁻⁸ - 0.087)

Playing God Question Series

7
0 comments

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14
55 comments

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
3434 comments

Animal Welfare Series

11
22 comments

Announcing the Bentham Prize

9
88 comments

Metaculus 2020 census-questions ideas

3
0 comments

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
66 comments

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

5
11 comment

Announcing the new Higher Education Series!

4
0 comments

Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series

13
22 comments