Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?11% chance42626 comments4949 forecasters11%chance
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems52.7 (38 - 67.8)944 comments5959 forecasters52.7 (38 - 67.8)
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?677 comments1616 forecasters
When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?11 May 2021 (04 Apr 2021 - 12 Jul 2021)21111 comments4040 forecasters11 May 2021 (04 Apr 2021 - 12 Jul 2021)
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Is mind uploading thought to amount to death?52.6 (37.1 - 66.9)522 comments5555 forecasters52.6 (37.1 - 66.9)
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Immortality - would philosophers choose it?45.4 (28.8 - 62.2)61111 comments6666 forecasters45.4 (28.8 - 62.2)
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Biological-ness of race32.4 (21 - 46)411 comment5454 forecasters32.4 (21 - 46)
PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics32.7 (22.4 - 45.1)422 comments5757 forecasters32.7 (22.4 - 45.1)
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering55.8 (43.5 - 68.4)822 comments5757 forecasters55.8 (43.5 - 68.4)
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Impermissibility of eating animals and animal products42.7 (30.2 - 56.6)131414 comments6565 forecasters42.7 (30.2 - 56.6)
Slate Star Codex Survey Mini-Series: Less support for psychiatric commitment among the committed?result: yes31313 comments4949 forecastersResolvedYes
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Support for open borders40.8 (27.7 - 56.4)533 comments5353 forecasters40.8 (27.7 - 56.4)
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?9.46×10⁻⁴% (6.61×10⁻⁸ - 0.087)281010 comments164164 forecasters9.46×10⁻⁴% (6.61×10⁻⁸ - 0.087)