• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
4 comments
15 forecasters

In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?

Current estimate
17.3%
26 comments
44 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance
2 comments
57 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering

community
55.8
result
64.21

Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified

13
2727 comments

A Global Catastrophe This Century

24
22 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Conditional Trees for AI Risk: A New Question Series and Report

7
0 comments
Conditional Trees: AI Risk

AI Philanthropy Workshop Report

1
0 comments

The Understanding AI Series With Timothy Lee

8
0 comments
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series

7
0 comments
7 comments
16 forecasters

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Study 258.3%
Study 153%