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4
comments
15
forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?
Current estimate
17.3%
26
comments
44
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
2
comments
57
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering
community
55.8
result
64.21
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
13
27
27
comments
A Global Catastrophe This Century
24
2
2
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Conditional Trees for AI Risk: A New Question Series and Report
7
0
comments
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
AI Philanthropy Workshop Report
1
0
comments
The Understanding AI Series With Timothy Lee
8
0
comments
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series
7
0
comments
7
comments
16
forecasters
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?
Study 2
58.3%
Study 1
53%
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