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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Ukraine Conflict Update for 2022-4-5

12
3 comments3
Ukraine Conflict

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

6%chance

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

1
no comments0
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Ukraine Conflict Update for Wednesday, 2022-03-09

6
no comments0
Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
1 comment1
Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-18

12
2 comments2
Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-25

9
3 comments3
Ukraine Conflict

What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?

21
12 comments12
Metaculus Journal Archives

War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

16
6 comments6
Metaculus Journal Archives