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Nuclear Technology & Risks
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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
2.2%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
17 comments
17
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Closed
11
5 comments
5
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Romania?
Marcel Ciolacu
47.52%
Mircea Geoanฤ
43.56%
George Simion
2.97%
4 others
3
4 comments
4
2024 International Elections Hub
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
68%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
20%
27
51 comments
51
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
66%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Ivanivske
92%
Kostyantynivka
65%
Velyka Novosilka
65%
13 others
20
84 comments
84
Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?
United States
93%
China
70%
Any EU country
70%
2 others
5
5 comments
5
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
79%
3
1 comment
1
The Bryan Caplan Collection
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