How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?111 comment4747 forecasters
Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?result: yes11313 comments6161 forecastersResolvedYes
Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu before 2027?5% chance644 comments8080 forecasters5%chance
Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?3% chance10 comments5353 forecasters3%chance
Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?40% chance11 comment4343 forecasters40%chance
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.83 kg per capita (7.7 - 7.98)111 comment4343 forecasters7.83 kg per capita (7.7 - 7.98)
When will the milk of cows whose DNA is intentionally altered to be hornless be for sale in the United States?30 May 2031 (27 May 2028 - >Oct 2035)644 comments3333 forecasters30 May 2031 (27 May 2028 - >Oct 2035)
What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?18.8 USD/kg (10 - 40)666 comments4343 forecasters18.8 USD/kg (10 - 40)
Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom in 2050?10% chance1644 comments7070 forecasters10%chance
How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?633 comments2323 forecasters
Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?80% chance4255 comments8686 forecasters80%chance
How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?30.8 million (26.6 - 34.9)677 comments3636 forecasters30.8 million (26.6 - 34.9)
When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?30 May 2027 (20 Jan 2026 - 08 Apr 2029)633 comments4646 forecasters30 May 2027 (20 Jan 2026 - 08 Apr 2029)
What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?11 comment11 forecaster
When will a protein fiber spinning process be developed that works at industrial scale and is competitive with synthetic fibers for commercial use?2031 (2028 - 2034)11 comment11 forecaster2031 (2028 - 2034)
How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?622 comments2626 forecasters
How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?1144 comments3131 forecasters
Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?41.5% chance0 comments11 forecaster41.5%chance
Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?33.1% chance0 comments33 forecasters33.2%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)0 comments22 forecasters0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)
If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?0 comments