Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?77% chance11111 comments4949 forecasters77%chance
Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?12% chance10 comments4242 forecasters12%chance
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.75 kg per capita (7.57 - 7.92)111 comment3434 forecasters7.75 kg per capita (7.57 - 7.92)
Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?45% chance0 comments3434 forecasters45%chance
How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?10 comments3333 forecasters
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?54% chance91313 comments8282 forecastersAmbiguous
How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?30.7 million (26.3 - 34.9)677 comments3737 forecasters30.7 million (26.3 - 34.9)
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q6 - Impossible Burger meat will be sold in at least one national grocery chain by end of 201971% chance163838 comments108108 forecastersAmbiguous
In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30?result: no52727 comments119119 forecastersResolvedNo
Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023?result: no131212 comments9494 forecastersResolvedNo
When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?11 Apr 2027 (03 Oct 2025 - 19 Jun 2029)633 comments4646 forecasters11 Apr 2027 (03 Oct 2025 - 19 Jun 2029)
What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?11 comment11 forecaster
What will the listing price of an Impossible Food's plant-based beef burger be, in a U.S.-based supermarket, in USD per kilo, in June, 2022?17.2 (14 - >20)132424 comments5353 forecastersResolved14.01
How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?6759 M USD (2642 - 18.2k)644 comments3232 forecasters6759 M USD (2642 - 18.2k)
How many American states will have cultivated meat bans on January 20, 2029?199 comments55 forecasters
Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu before 2027?8% chance644 comments8080 forecasters8%chance
Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?85% chance4244 comments8686 forecasters85%chance
Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?55% chance184242 comments162162 forecastersAnnulled
When will a protein fiber spinning process be developed that works at industrial scale and is competitive with synthetic fibers for commercial use?2031 (2028 - 2034)11 comment11 forecaster2031 (2028 - 2034)