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Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

13

112

112 forecasters

Will the European Space Agency launch the PLATO spacecraft before 2027?

0.1% chance

1

9

9 forecasters

0.1%chance

What is the next planet, besides Earth or Mars, that a human being will reach?

3

14

14 forecasters

What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?

8

51

51 forecasters

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

50% chance

26

157

157 forecasters

50%chance

When will the first human be born on another world?

Apr 2071 (Jul 2045 - 2157)

28

146

146 forecasters

Apr 2071

(Jul 2045 - 2157)

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

5% chance

180

126 126 comments

2.8k

2.8k forecasters

5%chance

Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?

20% chance

59

407

407 forecasters

20%chance

How many integrated Starship/Superheavy launches will SpaceX launch in 2026?

5 Launches (4 - 8)

13

13 forecasters

5 Launches

(4 - 8)

When will the first baby be born away from Earth?

Jun 2071 (Mar 2047 - 2109)

11

85

85 forecasters

Jun 2071

(Mar 2047 - 2109)

Will any person be charged with at least 1 death in space before 2036?

2% chance

1

13

13 forecasters

2%chance

What will the world real GDP growth rate be in 2030?

4.64% (3.14 - 6.15)

9

36

36 forecasters

4.64%

(3.14 - 6.15)

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

Jan 2072 (Feb 2046 - >Jan 2075)

16

52

52 forecasters

Jan 2072

(Feb 2046 - >Jan 2075)

Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

25% chance

9

766

766 forecasters

25%chance

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

10

45

45 forecasters

What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years?

5

54

54 forecasters

When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?

28 Mar 2029 (24 Feb 2028 - 21 Aug 2030)

42

207

207 forecasters

28 Mar 2029

(24 Feb 2028 - 21 Aug 2030)

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

0.1% chance

908

450 450 comments

4.4k

4.4k forecasters

0.1%chance

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

12

62

62 forecasters

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

65% chance

14

182

182 forecasters

65%chance

Will the community prediction be higher than 76.00% on 2026-03-13 for the Metaculus question "Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?"?

result: no

108

108 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?

result: yes

6

743

743 forecasters

ResolvedYes