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Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No

Barack Obamaresult: No

Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No

3.9k comments

3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes

Gretchen Whitmerresult: No

Pete Buttigiegresult: No

584 comments

1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes

Joe Bidenresult: No

Gavin Newsomresult: No

82 comments

235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes

Kamala Harris (D)result: No

Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled

143 comments

212 forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?

Tim Walzresult: Yes

Gina Raimondoresult: No

Jeff Jacksonresult: No

3 comments

156 forecasters

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

30%chance

24 comments

218 forecasters

Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

resultNo

32 comments

114 forecasters

If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?

50%chance

10 comments

29 forecasters

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

Wisconsinresult: Yes

New Mexicoresult: Yes

Montanaresult: Yes

60 comments

30 forecasters

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?