What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on September 8, 2026?55.9% (55.5 - 56.7)122 comments1919 forecastersResolved55.7%
Will the IAEA conduct an on-site inspection at any of Iran's Natanz, Fordow, or Isfahan nuclear sites before September 1, 2026?result: no122 comments1414 forecastersResolvedNo
What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026?53636 comments133133 forecasters
Will a finalized Iran–Oman joint agreement on a new Strait of Hormuz shipping route be officially in place as of August 21, 2026?result: no11 comment153153 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Vladimir Putin visit Iran before September 1, 2026?result: no-133 comments3737 forecastersResolvedNo
How many deaths from Operation Epic Fury will the U.S. government officially report on August 31, 2026?19 total deaths (14 - 57)133 comments1111 forecastersResolved14 total deaths
Will the UK–France-led multinational maritime mission begin escort or mine-clearance operations inside the Strait of Hormuz before August 7, 2026?result: no11 comment145145 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the U.S. report disabling another commercial vessel enforcing its Iran blockade between July 25 and August 7, 2026?result: no33 comments139139 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the open market US Dollar/Iranian Toman exchange rate on December 31, 2026?11 comment66 forecasters
What will be the highest-level status of Russia–Ukraine hostilities and diplomacy on August 8, 2026?11 comment136136 forecasters
Will the IMO announce it has resumed its paused Strait of Hormuz seafarer evacuation operation before August 7, 2026?result: no11 comment137137 forecastersResolvedNo
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?81616 comments1616 forecasters
Will Iran allow IAEA inspectors on-site access to any of its uranium enrichment facilities on or before July 24, 2026?result: no128128 comments128128 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Iran's Bushehr Unit 1 reactor be publicly reported as offline (shut down or disconnected from the grid) at any point between July 11 and July 23, 2026?result: no129129 comments125125 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the US reinstate a broad general license authorizing Iranian oil exports before July 24, 2026?result: no126126 comments126126 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the United States and Iran hold direct, in-person talks between July 11 and July 23, 2026?result: no121121 comments121121 forecastersResolvedNo
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?22% chance162273273 comments3.3k3.3k forecasters22%chance
Will a US–Iran ceasefire be in effect on July 23, 2026?result: no118118 comments120120 forecastersResolvedNo
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?34% chance596969 comments531531 forecasters34%chance
If nuclear conflict occurs by 2030, will it start in the period June-September?34% chance51111 comments6161 forecasters34%chance