11 comments
54 forecasters
Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?
99.9%chance
34.9% today
0 comments
3 forecasters
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Current estimate
Mar 2036
42 comments
137 forecasters
Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?
Together for the Republic75.5%
Other10.1%
No Prime Minister4%
1 comment
4 forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
1 comment
6 forecasters
Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?
1 comment
5 forecasters
Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?
0 comments
5 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
1 comment
5 forecasters