5 comments
16 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

65%chance
32.2% this week
19 comments
104 forecasters

Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026?

97%chance
85% this week
5 comments
57 forecasters

What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections?

Current estimate
27.5%
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will a hurricane make landfall in the continental United States before September 1, 2026?

50%chance
6 comments
61 forecasters

Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026?

39%chance
9% today
14 comments
137 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

IvΓ‘n Cepeda20%
Abelardo de la Espriella79.8%
Paloma Valencia0.1%
Another candidate0.1%
1 comment
6 forecasters

Will US federal agencies cease international arrival processing at any of the following airports for 3 or more consecutive days before 2027?

20%chance
0 comments
2 forecasters

What will be the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage for the week ending August 27, 2026?

At least 6.25% but less than 6.50%12.8%
At least 6.50% but less than 6.75%23.4%
At least 6.75% but less than 7.00%23.4%
Greater than 7.00%23.4%
14 comments
45 forecasters

What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur in June 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
0 comments
32 forecasters

Which party will win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?

Democrat74.7%
Republican24.3%
Other1%
27 comments
123 forecasters

Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026?

80%chance
10% this week
0 comments
23 forecasters

Will Missouri's 2026 Amendment 3 pass, repealing the 2024 abortion-rights protections?

38.1%chance
8.9% this week
Featured in