Forecasting for a complex world
Metaculus offers trustworthy forecasting and modeling infrastructure for forecasters, decision makers, and the public.Focus Areas
We create forecasts and advance research, decision making, and policy in four main topic areas.
biosecurity
Improving global health by understanding infectious diseases and preparing for future pandemicsSee ForecastsAI progress
Exploring the future of artificial intelligence technologies and the impacts to societySee Forecastsnuclear security
Quantifying global risks to keep us safe and secure for a flourishing futureSee Forecastsclimate change
Predicting long-term shifts in temperature and weather patterns caused by human activitySee ForecastsResearch & Updates
Our partners use Metaculus forecasts to gain insight into complex challenges and decisions.
Exploring Metaculus’s AI Track Record
By Peter Mühlbacher, Research Scientist at Metaculus, and Peter Scoblic, Director of Nuclear Risk at...
Mpox Rapid Information Aggregation
When an unexpected number of Mpox cases were reported in early May 2022, Metaculus organized a rapid...
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
The following report presents Metaculus community forecasts and analyses on key measures of human pr...
Engage with Metaculus
Learn how you can partner with Metaculus to host a forecasting tournament, collaborate on forecasting research, hire our Pro Forecasters for custom projects, or set up a private forecasting space for your organization.
We love working with non-profits in our core focus areas. If you’re a non-profit seeking forecasting and modeling capacity or are interested in collaborating on a grant, please reach out!
