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paulgabrielsen
Predictions
150
Comments
4
Member Since
June 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by paulgabrielsen
17 comments
260 forecasters
Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?
1%
chance
18 comments
203 forecasters
Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?
60%
chance
24 comments
264 forecasters
Will there be more VR headset sales than AR headsets sales in 2025?
37%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
7 comments
53 forecasters
Will (some of) China's space station land on land?
result
No
65 comments
319 forecasters
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
result
No
10 comments
156 forecasters
Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?
result
No
7 comments
136 forecasters
A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?
result
No
5 comments
69 forecasters
Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?
result
No
39 comments
150 forecasters
Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?
result
No
9 comments
10 forecasters
When will the next gene therapy treatment receive approval from the FDA?
community
24 Oct 2019
result
28 Oct 2017 07:00 UTC
1 comment
30 forecasters
How many iPhones will Apple sell in the first quarter of FY2018?
community
76.9
result
77.32625
15 comments
96 forecasters
When will a hyperloop test reach 250 mph?
community
04 Oct 2018
result
Ambiguous
5 comments
70 forecasters
Will "Rentberry" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?
result
Yes
6 comments
118 forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
19 comments
58 forecasters
1 million European electric vehicles: when?
community
23 Nov 2018
result
15 Mar 2018 UTC
15 comments
258 forecasters
Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?
result
No
6 comments
54 forecasters
When will Blue Origin's "New Glenn" rocket complete its first successful test flight?
Latest estimate
Mar 2021
This question is closed for forecasting.
12 comments
75 forecasters
When will Virgin Galactic's first paid flight occur?
community
02 Dec 2020
result
29 Jun 2023 UTC
15 comments
111 forecasters
When will commercial space launch be priced at less than $500/pound?
Latest estimate
26 Dec 2024
This question is closed for forecasting.
9 comments
50 forecasters
Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?
result
Yes
3 comments
27 forecasters
LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?
result
No
10 comments
58 forecasters
Giant robot battle: is it on?
result
Yes
10 comments
109 forecasters
How much global photovoltaic energy generation will be deployed by end 2020?
community
848
result
738.1
6 comments
112 forecasters
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
result
No
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