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paulgabrielsen
Predictions
150
Comments
4
Member Since
June 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by paulgabrielsen
17 comments
259 forecasters
Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?
1%
chance
18 comments
202 forecasters
Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?
60%
chance
25 comments
264 forecasters
Will there be more VR headset sales than AR headsets sales in 2025?
37%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
7 comments
53 forecasters
Will (some of) China's space station land on land?
result
No
65 comments
319 forecasters
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
result
No
10 comments
156 forecasters
Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?
result
No
7 comments
136 forecasters
A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?
result
No
5 comments
69 forecasters
Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?
result
No
39 comments
150 forecasters
Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?
result
No
9 comments
10 forecasters
When will the next gene therapy treatment receive approval from the FDA?
community
24 Oct 2019
result
28 Oct 2017 07:00 UTC
1 comment
30 forecasters
How many iPhones will Apple sell in the first quarter of FY2018?
community
76.9
result
77.32625
15 comments
96 forecasters
When will a hyperloop test reach 250 mph?
community
04 Oct 2018
result
Ambiguous
5 comments
70 forecasters
Will "Rentberry" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?
result
Yes
6 comments
118 forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
19 comments
58 forecasters
1 million European electric vehicles: when?
community
23 Nov 2018
result
15 Mar 2018 UTC
15 comments
258 forecasters
Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?
result
No
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