alt

Predictions3294

Comments108

Member SinceJuly 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by alt

0 comments

26 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

France17.9%

Spain17.8%

Argentina12.3%

Germany11.2%

5 others

9 comments

15 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

FranceAnnulled

SpainAnnulled

BrazilAnnulled

ArgentinaAnnulled

44 others

2 comments

13 forecasters

Will the United States support Argentine claims of sovereignty over the Malvinas/Falkland Islands before 2030?

21.1%chance

6.9% this week

15 comments

41 forecasters

Will the Cuban government lose power before 2027?

36%chance

Key Factors

Fin de la guerra en Irán
Oil delivery from Russia resumes
bbc.co.uk:
Russian oil tanker reaches Cuba as US blockade seemingly loosened

10 comments

23 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 FIA Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

Charles Leclerc4.1%

Lewis Hamilton9.3%

George Russell18.4%

Kimi Antonelli58.7%

19 others

Key Factors

formula1.com:
Bahrain and Saudi Arabian GPs will not take place in April
bbc.co.uk:
Chinese Grand Prix 2026: Kimi Antonelli wins ahead of Russell

18 comments

159 forecasters

Will the United States gain formal sovereignty over any part of Greenland during 2026?

3%chance

Key Factors

theguardian.com:
Trump ramps up Greenland threats and says US will intervene ‘whether they like it or not’
lemonde.fr:
Trump demands 'immediate negotiations' to acquire Greenland but 'won't use force'

6 comments

30 forecasters

Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

95%chance

3% this week

9 comments

5 forecasters

Will Australia retain the Ashes in the 2025–2026 Test series?

resultYes

6 comments

42 forecasters

Who will win the 2025–2026 Premier League?

Arsenalresult: Yes

Aston Villa0.1%

A.F.C. Bournemouth0.1%

Manchester City14.7%

16 others

11 comments

14 forecasters

Will resident doctors in England receive a further pay increase before 2026?

resultNo

6 comments

5 forecasters

Which party will win the 2025 Runcorn and Helsby by-election?

Labour54.8%

Reform UKresult: Yes

Conservative3.2%

Green0.2%

2 others

13 comments

25 forecasters

Will assisted dying for terminally ill adults be legal for the majority of United Kingdom residents before 2030?

13%chance

Key Factors

Bill running out of time in this session
Implementation period extends timeline