124.095 | When will Tunisia restore overnight public access to water? | Continuous |
99.137 | Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
95.400 | Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024? | Binary |
93.279 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
90.334 | Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
90.203 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
86.685 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
85.444 | Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
83.159 | How many FDIC banks will fail in 2023? | Continuous |
82.915 | Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
70.610 | Will Deutsche Bank collapse (or be rescued) before June 2023? | Binary |
69.137 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
64.347 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
61.865 | Will Apple announce a Mixed Reality headset at WWDC in 2023? | Binary |
49.474 | Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
49.354 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023? | Binary |
49.246 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard in 2023? | Binary |
49.204 | Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024? | Binary |
48.775 | Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate? | Binary |
47.969 | Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself? | Binary |
38.392 | Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
37.085 | Will SpaceX receive a launch license for Starship from the FAA before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
35.877 | Will the writers' strike be active on May 12th, 2023? | Binary |
32.881 | Will the Ukrainian parliamentary elections be held on schedule on or before 29 October, 2023? | Binary |
28.992 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
28.139 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
24.559 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Nancy Mace (R)) | Binary |
24.489 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
24.309 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
24.273 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
24.273 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Fred Upton (R)) | Binary |
24.273 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin Hern (R)) | Binary |
24.273 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Tom Cole (R)) | Binary |
24.273 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Banks (R)) | Binary |
24.272 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Don Bacon (R)) | Binary |
24.272 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Andy Biggs (R)) | Binary |
23.782 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Austin Scott (R)) | Binary |
23.418 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Tom Emmer (R)) | Binary |
23.141 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
22.875 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
22.760 | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023? | Binary |
22.463 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
22.414 | Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
21.669 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
21.526 | Will Xi Jinping speak with Volodymyr Zelensky before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
21.404 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
20.964 | Will Apple release a 15-inch MacBook Air at WWDC on June 5-9, 2023? | Binary |
20.546 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
20.111 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
18.850 | Who will win the 2023 World Series? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
16.568 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
16.377 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
16.156 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Brian Fitzpatrick (R)) | Binary |
16.155 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Lee Zeldin (R)) | Binary |
13.233 | Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024? | Binary |
13.170 | When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives? | Continuous |
12.919 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin Hern (R)) | Binary |
12.057 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Fred Upton (R)) | Binary |
10.933 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan) | Binary |
10.933 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Muharrem İnce) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek) | Binary |
10.932 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan) | Binary |
10.931 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal) | Binary |
10.931 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan) | Binary |
10.930 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül) | Binary |
10.930 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu) | Binary |
10.930 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül) | Binary |
10.930 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli) | Binary |
10.670 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
10.106 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
9.693 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
9.617 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
9.523 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
8.717 | Who will win the 2023 World Series? (Houston Astros) | Binary |
8.556 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
8.144 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
8.142 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Banks (R)) | Binary |
8.137 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
8.130 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Andy Biggs (R)) | Binary |
8.128 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
8.127 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Don Bacon (R)) | Binary |
8.125 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
8.123 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
8.032 | Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024? | Binary |
7.840 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
7.772 | Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
6.429 | Will the US Supreme Court issue a decision on hearing the case about presidential immunity before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
3.657 | Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024? | Binary |
3.107 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023? | Binary |
2.781 | Will Starship achieve liftoff before Monday, May 1st, 2023? | Binary |
- | Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024? | Binary |
-0.274 | Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel? | Binary |
-12.328 | Will the US Supreme Court declare the Indian Child Welfare Act unconstitutional? | Binary |
-14.088 | Will First Republic Bank enter FDIC receivership or be sold "under duress" before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
-14.890 | Will voting in Twitter polls require verification on April 16, 2023? | Binary |
-19.996 | When will Joe Biden issue his third veto? | Continuous |
-24.827 | Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024? | Binary |
-32.613 | Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
-34.008 | When will Browse with Bing be reintroduced on ChatGPT? | Continuous |
-48.143 | Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
-92.519 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Mike Johnson (R)) | Binary |
-115.076 | Who will win the 2023 World Series? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
-119.908 | Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
-192.682 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |