97.248 | Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024? | Binary |
97.081 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
96.873 | Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
95.452 | Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024? | Binary |
93.953 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
90.528 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
89.980 | Will Deutsche Bank collapse (or be rescued) before June 2023? | Binary |
84.361 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
82.403 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
79.660 | Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself? | Binary |
71.131 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
69.128 | Will OpenAI limit interactions with GPT-4 on ChatGPT due to model misbehavior before the end of May 2023? | Binary |
68.064 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
65.517 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
64.943 | Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22? | Binary |
58.994 | Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023? | Binary |
56.561 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
54.317 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
45.724 | Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
44.929 | Will Google Bard be available to the public on March 5th, 2023? | Binary |
41.377 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
32.897 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
30.171 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (CDU+SPD+FDP) | Binary |
29.686 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (CDU+Greens+FDP) | Binary |
27.697 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (Greens+CDU) | Binary |
25.084 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (CDU+SPD+Greens) | Binary |
13.556 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
12.385 | Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024? | Binary |
8.543 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
8.482 | Will Xi Jinping speak with Volodymyr Zelensky before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
7.275 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
5.818 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023? | Binary |
5.349 | Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023? | Binary |
5.130 | Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024? | Binary |
5.016 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023? | Binary |
2.910 | Will USDC restore its peg before May 1, 2023? | Binary |
0.163 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
-23.627 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (SPD+CDU) | Binary |
-23.627 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (SPD+Greens+Left) | Binary |