91.512 | When will the second Starship test flight occur? | Continuous |
90.145 | Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024? | Binary |
88.135 | Will the Federal Funds Rate be raised before December 18, 2023? | Binary |
87.654 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
84.673 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
84.609 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
82.371 | Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
75.140 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
72.102 | Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024? | Binary |
67.999 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
67.003 | Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22? | Binary |
65.193 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
64.570 | Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
60.700 | Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024? | Binary |
58.658 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
58.260 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
55.360 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
50.158 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
48.829 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
48.405 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
47.654 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
47.495 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
47.082 | Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023? | Binary |
46.628 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
44.382 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
42.019 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Fred Upton (R)) | Binary |
37.924 | Will Russia substantially damage or destroy a Patriot Missile Battery in Ukraine before July, 2023? | Binary |
37.600 | Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days? | Binary |
36.725 | Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023? | Binary |
36.632 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
36.506 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
35.572 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
34.978 | Will the statutory debt limit be increased or suspended for at least 30 days in the United States before 2024? | Binary |
33.011 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
30.503 | Will the writers' strike be active on May 12th, 2023? | Binary |
29.147 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
28.966 | Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
28.287 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
27.593 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
24.188 | [Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (3) | Binary |
24.063 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023? | Binary |
23.379 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
22.123 | Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023? | Binary |
20.153 | [Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (4) | Binary |
20.078 | [Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (5 or more) | Binary |
16.754 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Lee Zeldin (R)) | Binary |
16.081 | Will a nearly continuous human chain stretch across the length of the Forth and Clyde Canal on 14 October 2023? | Binary |
15.733 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
14.934 | [Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (1) | Binary |
14.902 | [Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (2) | Binary |
14.681 | Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
13.818 | Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate? | Binary |
11.805 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Tom Emmer (R)) | Binary |
11.091 | Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023? | Binary |
10.577 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
10.083 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
8.497 | Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024? | Binary |
7.446 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
7.182 | [Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? | Continuous |
6.087 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023? | Binary |
4.048 | Will countries commit at least 100 US/German-made modern main battle tanks to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
3.535 | [Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (0) | Binary |
1.195 | Will the Federal Open Market Committee raise interest rates at the June 13-14, 2023 meeting? | Binary |
1.025 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
0.881 | How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located? | Continuous |
0.665 | Will Ed Sheeran be found liable for copyright infringement in 'Let's Get It On' lawsuit? | Binary |
0.255 | Will Starship achieve liftoff before Monday, May 1st, 2023? | Binary |
0.122 | Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
-1.250 | Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
-5.577 | Will the maiden flight of the H3 Launch Vehicle carrying ALOS-3 launch successfully and on time? | Binary |
-7.347 | Will First Republic Bank enter FDIC receivership or be sold "under duress" before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
-15.570 | Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024? | Binary |
-20.455 | Will New York City break its record by going more than 332 days without measurable snow? | Binary |