94.978 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Feb-23) | Continuous |
84.814 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (May-23) | Continuous |
79.434 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
71.803 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Jan-23) | Continuous |
71.435 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
60.985 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
46.244 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
44.126 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
43.656 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
43.622 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Apr-23) | Continuous |
42.931 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Mar-23) | Continuous |
42.183 | How much total trade volume (in 2021 USD) will Israel and Turkey trade in 2022? | Continuous |
40.934 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Jun-23) | Continuous |
38.811 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (March 1, 2023) | Continuous |
38.657 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
37.330 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2023) | Continuous |
36.230 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
35.826 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
35.362 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
33.001 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
32.786 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
31.121 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-23) | Continuous |
29.418 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
29.038 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
25.323 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2023) | Continuous |
25.238 | What percentage of people in low-income countries will have recieved at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
24.593 | How much oil will Russia produce (in barrels per day) in the following years? (2022) | Continuous |
23.482 | How many satellites will be deployed in 2022? | Continuous |
22.207 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
21.963 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
20.494 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
19.196 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
19.019 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
18.708 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Aug-23) | Continuous |
18.226 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Jul-23) | Continuous |
17.950 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
17.551 | Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
16.153 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
15.789 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (February 2023) | Continuous |
15.744 | In 2023, will Tether de-peg? | Binary |
14.720 | How much oil will Venezuela produce in 2022? | Continuous |
14.646 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
14.550 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
14.398 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
14.011 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination? | Binary |
13.479 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
13.227 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
13.083 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
13.054 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
12.971 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023? | Binary |
12.682 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2023) | Continuous |
12.078 | Will Joe Rogan leave Spotify before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
11.669 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (August 2023) | Continuous |
11.373 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2023) | Continuous |
11.335 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
11.314 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
10.321 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
10.237 | Does Omicron have a shorter generation interval than Delta? | Binary |
10.174 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
10.149 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
10.031 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
9.917 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
9.618 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
9.533 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
9.341 | Will cost of living riots happen in the UK before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
8.842 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
8.713 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
8.548 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
8.307 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
8.220 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Nov-23) | Continuous |
8.204 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
7.656 | Will any US state re-implement a general indoor mask mandate before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
7.624 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
7.556 | By December 31, 2023, will the courts block any part of the Biden Administration's plan to broadly cancel student debt? | Binary |
7.177 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
7.004 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2023) | Continuous |
6.934 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? | Binary |
5.848 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
5.727 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
5.113 | Will Johnny Depp receive a film contract from a major film studio by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
4.878 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
4.787 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Binary |
4.424 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
4.283 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
4.143 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
4.109 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
4.000 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
3.864 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2024? | Binary |
3.615 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Oct-23) | Continuous |
3.450 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
3.431 | Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024? | Binary |
3.170 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
3.034 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
2.313 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
2.205 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jared Kushner) | Binary |
2.132 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
1.715 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
1.545 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
1.536 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
1.118 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sheryl Sandberg) | Binary |
0.880 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
0.769 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
0.417 | When will China first reach 250,000 confirmed Covid-19 cases per day? | Continuous |
0.135 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Lex Fridman) | Binary |
-0.325 | In 2023, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell? | Continuous |
-0.476 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2023) | Continuous |
-0.490 | What will Asana's market cap be on December 1, 2023? | Continuous |
-1.573 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
-1.885 | Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024? | Binary |
-4.335 | How many politically motivated criminal offenses will be reported in Germany for 2022? | Continuous |
-5.604 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2023) | Continuous |
-6.992 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
-7.003 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2022) | Continuous |
-7.822 | What will be the Levelized Cost of Energy Storage in 2022? | Continuous |
-9.498 | When will GPT-4 be announced? | Continuous |
-9.769 | Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
-10.755 | What price will Coinbase quote for FTX's FTT token on February 1, 2023? | Continuous |
-12.552 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (David Sacks) | Binary |
-13.738 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
-14.617 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Elon Musk) | Binary |
-19.155 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
-22.584 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
-25.148 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
-26.991 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
-29.615 | Will the 3.47 second Rubik's Cube world record be broken by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
-40.379 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
-46.664 | Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023? | Binary |