90.650 | How much will President Trump govern by decree? | Continuous |
84.125 | Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic nomination? | Binary |
75.610 | Will rapid rocket reusability be demonstrated by 2021? | Binary |
71.073 | Will Elizabeth Warren be the 2020 Democratic Party Nominee for President of the United States? | Binary |
60.768 | Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member? | Binary |
59.172 | First attempted human head transplant by end of 2020? | Binary |
58.827 | Will the U.S. enter a recession by July 1, 2021? | Binary |
58.624 | Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders? | Binary |
58.467 | Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q2 - US homicides will decline | Binary |
57.132 | Will Hillary Clinton run for the office of President of the United States in 2020? | Binary |
53.556 | When will the median Hongkonger be merely "quite disatisfied" with the present political condition in Hong Kong, according to HKPORI? | Continuous |
40.666 | Will Donald Trump appoint at least one more Justice to the Supreme Court before the end of his presidency? | Binary |
40.000 | Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q4 - More animals will be killed for US human consumption in 2019 than in 2018 | Binary |
39.649 | When will the next vacancy arise for a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States? | Continuous |
36.072 | Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021? | Binary |
34.136 | Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election? | Binary |
33.704 | Will Donald Trump complete his elected term(s) as President? | Binary |
32.854 | Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021? | Binary |
32.356 | Will the U.S. enter a recession by July 1, 2020? | Binary |
32.112 | How many electoral college votes will Donald Trump win in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Continuous |
31.440 | Will Moon Express successfully scout the moon by 2021? | Binary |
29.706 | Will an authenticated tape of Trump saying the n-word behind the scenes of "The Apprentice" surface before Election Day, 2020? | Binary |
28.484 | Will the Ocean Cleanup project *fail* to have 60 systems up and running by 2021? | Binary |
28.473 | Will Donald Trump face a significant primary challenge in 2020? | Binary |
26.594 | Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020? | Binary |
26.423 | Will Trump be reelected president if the election is called by November 10th 2020? | Binary |
25.224 | By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther? | Binary |
22.862 | Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any *other* previous significant political office? | Binary |
17.794 | Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020? | Binary |
15.204 | Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021? | Binary |
9.198 | A medical pathway to complete painlessness? | Binary |
8.834 | A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021? | Binary |
8.499 | Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020? | Binary |
7.843 | By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation? | Binary |
6.743 | A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020? | Binary |
6.662 | Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019? | Binary |
5.389 | Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020? | Binary |
4.191 | Will Facebook's Libra initiative launch by Oct 1st 2020? | Binary |
4.107 | Will Mark Latham be a member of One Nation on the 1st of January 2021? | Binary |
-2.078 | By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term? | Binary |
-3.547 | Will the United Kingdom enter a recession by 2021? | Binary |
-50.194 | Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020? | Binary |
-55.892 | How many cases of measles will be recorded in the United States for the year 2020? | Continuous |
-104.516 | Will SpaceX Starship (with or without a booster) reach space before 2021? | Binary |