| 98.466 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 98.420 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 98.407 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.134 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 97.802 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 97.743 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 96.757 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 96.619 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 93.085 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 89.865 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 89.606 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 88.695 | Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026? | Binary |
| 86.481 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.954 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 84.574 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 84.548 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 78.840 | Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026? | Binary |
| 78.840 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 75.274 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 73.220 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 71.661 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 70.998 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 66.986 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 66.620 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 66.579 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 63.657 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 63.513 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 63.513 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 63.267 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 63.214 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 62.299 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 62.170 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 60.010 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 59.563 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD) | Binary |
| 59.563 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (FDP) | Binary |
| 59.563 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Die Linke) | Binary |
| 58.126 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 55.141 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 54.593 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 54.298 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 54.225 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2025) | Binary |
| 52.084 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 51.364 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 51.108 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Grüne) | Binary |
| 49.633 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (SPD) | Binary |
| 49.275 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2026? | Binary |
| 49.200 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025? | Binary |
| 49.114 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 48.090 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 47.074 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 47.058 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 46.999 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 45.964 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU) | Binary |
| 45.839 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 45.610 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 44.455 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 44.062 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 44.047 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 42.690 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 42.230 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 41.460 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 41.419 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 41.163 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.740 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 40.740 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 40.740 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 40.114 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 39.900 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 38.697 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 38.075 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 37.536 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 36.682 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 36.484 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 36.450 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 36.446 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 34.743 | Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026? | Binary |
| 34.234 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 34.066 | Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026? | Binary |
| 33.622 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 32.921 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 32.677 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 32.493 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 32.091 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 29.454 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 29.310 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 28.597 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 28.455 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 27.728 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 27.652 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.496 | Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| 25.903 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 25.178 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 23.821 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.621 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 23.028 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 21.733 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 21.493 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.458 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 21.296 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 21.263 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.891 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 20.790 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 19.374 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 19.271 | Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.958 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 18.684 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 18.027 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 17.925 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| 17.397 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 17.013 | Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before 2026? | Binary |
| 16.922 | Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025? | Binary |
| 16.005 | Will the UK and India have signed an FTA before the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 15.728 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.634 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 15.363 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 15.123 | Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.649 | Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.211 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.007 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 13.849 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 13.831 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 13.738 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.685 | Will Gautam Adani be listed in the top 10 of the Forbes' annual 'World's Billionaires List' before 2026? | Binary |
| 13.595 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 13.273 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.995 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 12.958 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 12.375 | Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.434 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.373 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.340 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 11.340 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 10.969 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 10.131 | Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.664 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.883 | Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.241 | Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election? | Binary |
| 8.224 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.872 | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.015 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.655 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 5.654 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.398 | In 2025, will code generating AI have been pre-trained on a natural language corpus? | Binary |
| 5.093 | Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025? | Binary |
| 4.860 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 4.860 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.860 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.860 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 4.860 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.852 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 4.731 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.577 | Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? | Binary |
| 4.421 | Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. Core CPI be above 4.0% for any 6 consecutive months before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.211 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.133 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.855 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.853 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 2.842 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 2.202 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 1.486 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.946 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.677 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.323 | Will the 12-Month U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rise above 3.0% by 2024? | Binary |
| - | Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025? | Binary |
| - | Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024? | Binary |
| -0.001 | Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family? | Binary |
| -0.085 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -0.906 | Will John McAfee receive a prison term of at least 3 years? | Binary |
| -2.562 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -2.623 | Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025? | Binary |
| -2.899 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| -2.932 | Will Urbit development be ongoing in 2025? | Binary |
| -4.190 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| -4.949 | Will there be any further delay to the Libor cessation in 2023? | Binary |
| -5.480 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -6.366 | Will the US require and verify reporting of large AI training runs before 2026? | Binary |
| -7.264 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| -8.370 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -8.421 | Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026? | Binary |
| -10.643 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| -10.946 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -10.986 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -11.478 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -11.618 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -12.758 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -14.550 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| -15.336 | Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026? | Binary |
| -15.377 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -18.442 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -19.567 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -25.441 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -30.956 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -36.829 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| -39.859 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -57.962 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -61.220 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -82.653 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -105.054 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -111.500 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -121.824 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -135.608 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -153.193 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |