| 138.918 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 132.241 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 108.309 | What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
| 107.442 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| 105.976 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 101.173 | How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 98.136 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2025) | Binary |
| 94.752 | Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026? | Binary |
| 93.959 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 93.740 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 93.705 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 93.463 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 93.407 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 92.162 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 91.790 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 91.176 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 88.078 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 87.889 | Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026? | Binary |
| 85.115 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 84.873 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 84.179 | What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 82.468 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 81.430 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 81.023 | Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026? | Binary |
| 80.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 80.355 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 79.857 | What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 79.433 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Die Linke) | Binary |
| 78.868 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.688 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (FDP) | Binary |
| 78.602 | Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026? | Binary |
| 78.016 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 76.179 | Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026? | Binary |
| 74.533 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 74.321 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 73.571 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 72.495 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 72.432 | Will SpaceX's non-launch revenue exceed its launch revenue before 2025? | Binary |
| 72.269 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 70.970 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Grüne) | Binary |
| 68.917 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 68.590 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025? | Binary |
| 68.154 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 67.094 | What will productivity be in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 65.409 | What will be the share of light vehicles sold globally which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 63.343 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 62.463 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 62.421 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 62.076 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 61.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 61.685 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 61.509 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 61.438 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD) | Binary |
| 61.252 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 59.978 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 58.984 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 58.195 | Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities? | Binary |
| 57.357 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.721 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (SPD) | Binary |
| 56.646 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 56.009 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 55.636 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 55.561 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 54.309 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 54.238 | How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 53.906 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 53.165 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 52.880 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 52.041 | What will the US life expectancy be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 51.611 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 50.941 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 50.888 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.576 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 49.988 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 48.820 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU) | Binary |
| 46.924 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 46.671 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 44.832 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 44.216 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 42.907 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025? | Continuous |
| 41.845 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 39.961 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 38.495 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 36.389 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 31.930 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 31.750 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 29.975 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 29.853 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 29.446 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 29.037 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.892 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.642 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.430 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 28.292 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.616 | How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 27.582 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 27.577 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.372 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (European Union) | Binary |
| 27.164 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 25.672 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 25.385 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 23.575 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 23.475 | If Sahra Wagenknecht founds a new party, what percentage of the votes will this party get in the next German federal elections? | Continuous |
| 23.189 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 22.612 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 21.433 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 21.212 | Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025? | Binary |
| 20.083 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 20.057 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 16.151 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.977 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 14.794 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| 11.672 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.535 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.520 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.642 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 10.610 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 8.703 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 8.288 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 8.216 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2024) | Continuous |
| 8.011 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.570 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.224 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 6.897 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 6.384 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 6.305 | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.875 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 5.873 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 5.752 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 5.708 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 5.593 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.358 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 5.292 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.233 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.207 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.202 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 5.200 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 4.823 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.794 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 4.702 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 4.074 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.043 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 3.747 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| 3.168 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.376 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.721 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.971 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| 0.718 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.659 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.550 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.399 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.265 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 0.189 | When will Oleksii Reznikov cease to hold the office of the Minister of Defence of Ukraine? | Continuous |
| -1.449 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| -1.561 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -2.369 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -3.253 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| -4.378 | What will be the annual inflation in Latvia in 2022? | Continuous |
| -11.231 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -14.406 | How many Chinese institutions of higher education will get approved for an artificial intelligence undergraduate program in 2023? | Continuous |
| -17.382 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -21.907 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States) | Binary |
| -26.137 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -32.151 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| -52.662 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Trabucco) | Binary |
| -64.366 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| -70.509 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -73.579 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -134.988 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -170.943 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -241.970 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |