| 212.586 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Forward) | Continuous |
| 195.419 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Libertarian) | Continuous |
| 184.533 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Green) | Continuous |
| 158.457 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 144.749 | How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 100.481 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) | Continuous |
| 98.773 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.773 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.633 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 98.504 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.160 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.091 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 97.611 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 96.919 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 95.841 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 95.550 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 95.149 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) | Continuous |
| 94.673 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 94.579 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.243 | How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026? | Continuous |
| 93.199 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 90.329 | What will be the world population in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 89.312 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 87.163 | What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
| 84.798 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 84.798 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 84.673 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 81.689 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 79.339 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 79.217 | Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term? | Binary |
| 78.292 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 77.809 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 76.376 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 75.371 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 73.067 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 71.544 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.192 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Patient Focus) | Binary |
| 71.138 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Green) | Binary |
| 71.138 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Christian Democratic) | Binary |
| 71.054 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Centre) | Binary |
| 71.054 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Red Party) | Binary |
| 71.054 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| 69.935 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 69.736 | Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026? | Binary |
| 68.577 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Socialist Left) | Binary |
| 66.925 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 66.867 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 66.674 | What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 65.281 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 65.029 | Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before January 1st of the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 64.980 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 63.994 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 63.991 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 63.979 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 63.927 | Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026? | Binary |
| 63.869 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 63.703 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 63.603 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 63.538 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 63.215 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 62.221 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 62.026 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 60.891 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.617 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 60.414 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 60.311 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 59.369 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.418 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 58.203 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 57.472 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (No Labels) | Continuous |
| 57.448 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.810 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Progress) | Binary |
| 56.716 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.542 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 54.693 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 54.393 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 54.375 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 53.846 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 53.638 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.863 | How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 49.538 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 49.239 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 48.773 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.763 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.676 | How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States? | Continuous |
| 48.120 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 47.923 | What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 47.432 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 46.998 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 46.380 | Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025? | Binary |
| 46.191 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 46.116 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 45.503 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 45.371 | What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest? (2024) | Continuous |
| 45.304 | How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| 44.969 | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 42.628 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 42.421 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025? | Continuous |
| 41.547 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.950 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 40.867 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 40.181 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 38.565 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 37.761 | What will the US life expectancy be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 37.354 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 37.170 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 35.910 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 35.882 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 35.673 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 35.670 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 35.470 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 35.149 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.915 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 34.227 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 34.176 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States) | Binary |
| 33.834 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 33.551 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.606 | Will Norway announce an official referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in September 2025? | Binary |
| 32.514 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 32.321 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2024) | Continuous |
| 32.059 | How much oil will Russia produce (in barrels per day) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 31.074 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.949 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 30.645 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 30.357 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 30.168 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 30.141 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 29.484 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 29.103 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 28.419 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 28.419 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 28.419 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 28.411 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 28.190 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 27.862 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 27.132 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 26.880 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 26.880 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 26.044 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 25.717 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 25.567 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 25.053 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.837 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 22.725 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.652 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 21.578 | What will annual inflation be in the eurozone in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 21.354 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 21.000 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 20.279 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.798 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 19.175 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| 18.539 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 17.886 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.660 | What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 17.456 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 15.356 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 14.943 | Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.853 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.124 | When will Moscow (stock) Exchange reopen its stock and derivative markets to both Russians and foreigners? | Continuous |
| 13.690 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 12.859 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 12.340 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 12.237 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.631 | What will the disclosed global venture capital investment in cultivated meat companies be in 2022 (in millions of USD)? | Continuous |
| 10.224 | Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? | Binary |
| 9.729 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 9.249 | Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.100 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.955 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Trabucco) | Binary |
| 8.892 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.773 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 8.458 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Grüne) | Binary |
| 8.458 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Die Linke) | Binary |
| 8.458 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (FDP) | Binary |
| 8.200 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (SPD) | Binary |
| 8.041 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| 8.031 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 7.882 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 7.675 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 7.517 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD) | Binary |
| 7.225 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU) | Binary |
| 7.148 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 6.826 | How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.135 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 6.046 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 5.708 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 5.125 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 4.764 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 4.534 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 4.024 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 4.002 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 3.969 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 3.687 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (European Union) | Binary |
| 3.154 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.739 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 2.413 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.329 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.294 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.099 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 2.085 | What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest? (2023) | Continuous |
| 2.047 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.694 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.623 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 1.598 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 1.433 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 1.316 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 1.240 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.928 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.838 | What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years? (2026) | Continuous |
| 0.834 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.521 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 0.442 | What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 0.429 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.416 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.333 | What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 0.321 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| 0.235 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Gary Wang) | Binary |
| 0.234 | In 2025, will code generating AI have been pre-trained on a natural language corpus? | Binary |
| 0.222 | How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in 2022 and 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.050 | How many dollars' worth of security assistance will the U.S. direct to Ukraine's military from Congress's Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative and Foreign Military Financing programs in FY 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.042 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 0.035 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.035 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.035 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.029 | Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.027 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.026 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 0.024 | If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.020 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.016 | How many uncontrolled reentries will China conduct by 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.004 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.001 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.001 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.001 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? | Continuous |
| - | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| - | Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -0.020 | When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video? | Continuous |
| -0.487 | When will Kwasi Kwarteng no longer hold the office of UK chancellor of the Exchequer? | Continuous |
| -0.581 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2024) | Continuous |
| -2.294 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -4.278 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| -6.529 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| -6.728 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -6.830 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -7.811 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -9.426 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| -9.679 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -10.336 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -13.950 | How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025? | Continuous |
| -18.620 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| -20.675 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| -21.548 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -25.577 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| -27.224 | What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest? (2025) | Continuous |
| -34.869 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| -40.643 | Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| -40.822 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
| -43.897 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| -46.326 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Labour) | Binary |
| -47.713 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -49.536 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| -67.017 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
| -67.787 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -74.605 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (3: Negotiations recommended) | Continuous |
| -79.553 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -85.330 | Will OpenAI release an LLM product or API that hallucinates 5x less than GPT-4 did when it was released, by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| -87.415 | What will be the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| -104.012 | When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%? | Continuous |
| -105.620 | Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026? | Binary |
| -164.712 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -184.600 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |