| 203.636 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 116.122 | How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update? | Continuous |
| 115.195 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
| 102.335 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 9, 2022 and July 2, 2022? | Continuous |
| 91.931 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 91.081 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
| 81.344 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 79.004 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
| 78.224 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
| 77.132 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
| 76.124 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 73.484 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 71.301 | When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk? | Continuous |
| 66.806 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30) | Continuous |
| 65.721 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 64.551 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
| 63.714 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
| 61.496 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 8th and July 1st 2022? | Continuous |
| 58.414 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 58.387 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 57.351 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 56.780 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 55.443 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
| 55.195 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19) | Continuous |
| 54.184 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
| 52.135 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 52.037 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 19) | Continuous |
| 51.027 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
| 50.823 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
| 50.067 | When will the Apple Watch Series 8 be available for pre-order? | Continuous |
| 48.631 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022) | Continuous |
| 46.731 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
| 46.060 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022? | Continuous |
| 45.680 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
| 45.227 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 44.450 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 43.411 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
| 42.829 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.828 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.790 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.579 | On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak? | Continuous |
| 41.265 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.305 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.263 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.094 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
| 39.968 | How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 38.665 | What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 38.368 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
| 37.975 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 36.961 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 36.480 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19) | Continuous |
| 36.133 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 35.969 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
| 35.829 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 35.483 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 34.202 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.845 | What will be the reported number of 7-day average new Covid-19 cases in Mainland China on 2022-02-28? | Continuous |
| 33.734 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.186 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
| 33.023 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
| 32.371 | How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022? | Continuous |
| 32.132 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5) | Continuous |
| 32.042 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022? | Continuous |
| 31.553 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 31.552 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 31.167 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
| 29.532 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 29.344 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022? | Continuous |
| 28.944 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 19) | Continuous |
| 28.816 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5) | Continuous |
| 28.456 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
| 28.352 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
| 27.159 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14) | Continuous |
| 26.618 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 26.267 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 26.069 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
| 25.922 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022? | Continuous |
| 25.420 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
| 25.318 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 25.119 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (July 2) | Continuous |
| 24.678 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.497 | How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 24.496 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.172 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.133 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.102 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
| 23.805 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
| 23.790 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
| 23.195 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
| 23.013 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?” | Continuous |
| 22.960 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
| 22.850 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
| 22.629 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
| 22.332 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022? | Continuous |
| 22.282 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
| 22.260 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
| 22.218 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 21.452 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
| 21.430 | How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware? | Continuous |
| 21.159 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 21.136 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022? | Continuous |
| 20.882 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
| 20.761 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
| 20.081 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.996 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.786 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.663 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.451 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.412 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.174 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
| 19.135 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
| 19.117 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022? | Continuous |
| 18.575 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
| 18.129 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
| 17.448 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022) | Continuous |
| 17.275 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 17.067 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.861 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question? | Continuous |
| 16.601 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 15.617 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 11) | Continuous |
| 15.101 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 14.861 | What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual? | Continuous |
| 14.625 | Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023? | Binary |
| 14.492 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
| 14.463 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 5) | Continuous |
| 14.339 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 14.277 | How much crude oil will the US import from Russia in 2022? | Continuous |
| 14.172 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5) | Continuous |
| 14.098 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 14.082 | What will the price of ETH be on Dec 2, 2022 at noon EST? | Continuous |
| 14.037 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5) | Continuous |
| 13.950 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
| 13.151 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
| 12.966 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
| 12.948 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
| 12.907 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 12.832 | [Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard? | Continuous |
| 12.605 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19) | Continuous |
| 12.549 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Jan 22) | Continuous |
| 12.217 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2) | Continuous |
| 12.184 | In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack? | Continuous |
| 12.086 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
| 11.720 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
| 11.704 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
| 11.602 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
| 11.482 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
| 11.334 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
| 11.310 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
| 11.278 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
| 11.268 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
| 10.989 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
| 10.873 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 10.813 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
| 10.803 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 10.332 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
| 10.071 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
| 9.999 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
| 9.534 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
| 9.528 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 9.323 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 9.283 | What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022? | Continuous |
| 9.239 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 9.154 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
| 8.749 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
| 8.733 | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
| 8.512 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
| 8.382 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
| 8.316 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
| 8.288 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? | Binary |
| 8.180 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
| 8.170 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
| 8.071 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
| 7.998 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5) | Continuous |
| 7.970 | What percentage of the vote share will Carrick Flynn receive in the OR-6 Democratic primary? | Continuous |
| 7.933 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
| 7.882 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
| 7.814 | [short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022? | Binary |
| 7.768 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
| 7.685 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
| 7.416 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
| 7.291 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 7.286 | How many new Pokemon will Pokemon Scarlet and Violet introduce? | Continuous |
| 7.257 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (61) | Binary |
| 7.172 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 7.062 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
| 6.921 | By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light? | Binary |
| 6.896 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| 6.863 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.734 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 6.660 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
| 6.656 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.553 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, "Robots/AIs may be harmful to future generations of people."? | Continuous |
| 6.548 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 22nd of April, 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.500 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
| 6.323 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
| 6.322 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Jan 22) | Continuous |
| 6.261 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
| 6.260 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
| 6.106 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
| 6.102 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
| 6.095 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14) | Continuous |
| 6.021 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
| 6.002 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 4) | Continuous |
| 5.963 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.961 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
| 5.939 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
| 5.938 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Jan 22) | Continuous |
| 5.868 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
| 5.723 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
| 5.604 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
| 5.597 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 5.546 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”? | Continuous |
| 5.510 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
| 5.451 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
| 5.377 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
| 5.318 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
| 5.317 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
| 5.259 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 5.190 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
| 5.089 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5) | Continuous |
| 5.050 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
| 5.041 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
| 4.972 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
| 4.967 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
| 4.912 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19) | Continuous |
| 4.900 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
| 4.836 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
| 4.810 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
| 4.765 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2022) | Binary |
| 4.544 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
| 4.534 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
| 4.391 | When will China end Covid Zero? | Continuous |
| 4.347 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
| 4.313 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
| 4.277 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
| 4.183 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 3.947 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
| 3.929 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 18) | Continuous |
| 3.666 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5) | Continuous |
| 3.665 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 3.660 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.521 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
| 3.500 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.463 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
| 3.422 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 3.218 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.187 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22) | Continuous |
| 3.176 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
| 3.158 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 3.101 | Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving? | Binary |
| 2.959 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
| 2.944 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
| 2.935 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
| 2.912 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
| 2.910 | Will Wales score a goal against England on Tuesday? | Binary |
| 2.885 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
| 2.853 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
| 2.831 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
| 2.827 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.742 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
| 2.633 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14) | Continuous |
| 2.629 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.556 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 2.541 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
| 2.519 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
| 2.506 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 11) | Continuous |
| 2.358 | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
| 2.283 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
| 2.237 | Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 2.230 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.203 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
| 2.096 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
| 2.079 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
| 2.027 | If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN? | Continuous |
| 1.882 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
| 1.860 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
| 1.810 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
| 1.789 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.769 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
| 1.581 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
| 1.496 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
| 1.452 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
| 1.419 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
| 1.393 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
| 1.382 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (63) | Binary |
| 1.378 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
| 1.339 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 1.335 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Jan 22) | Continuous |
| 1.320 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
| 1.305 | Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 1.278 | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.214 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
| 1.194 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
| 1.160 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
| 1.118 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (65) | Binary |
| 1.088 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
| 1.083 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
| 1.034 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
| 1.003 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
| 1.000 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
| 0.932 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
| 0.898 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
| 0.885 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
| 0.874 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
| 0.799 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.760 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
| 0.743 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
| 0.735 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (66) | Binary |
| 0.721 | How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.712 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
| 0.710 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
| 0.698 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
| 0.548 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 0.547 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
| 0.522 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30) | Continuous |
| 0.519 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.430 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
| 0.397 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
| 0.375 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 0.363 | [short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| 0.334 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (64) | Binary |
| 0.308 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.219 | Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
| 0.217 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
| 0.129 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (June 25) | Continuous |
| 0.112 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
| 0.110 | Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.108 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (62) | Binary |
| 0.094 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Élisabeth Borne) | Binary |
| 0.062 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 6, 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.052 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Marine Le Pen) | Binary |
| 0.038 | Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -0.003 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon) | Binary |
| -0.080 | Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League? | Binary |
| -0.085 | Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union? | Binary |
| -0.142 | Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022? | Binary |
| -0.148 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
| -0.199 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
| -0.249 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
| -0.497 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -0.580 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image? | Binary |
| -0.581 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -0.604 | Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -0.611 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
| -0.668 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (July 2) | Continuous |
| -0.692 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
| -0.732 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -0.891 | What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -1.037 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
| -1.113 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
| -1.121 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 19) | Continuous |
| -1.324 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Jan 22) | Continuous |
| -1.848 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19) | Continuous |
| -1.885 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
| -1.937 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
| -1.984 | Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections? | Binary |
| -2.058 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5) | Continuous |
| -2.063 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -2.584 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -2.686 | How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022? | Continuous |
| -2.815 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022? | Continuous |
| -2.881 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
| -3.032 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
| -3.622 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -3.689 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
| -3.907 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 18) | Continuous |
| -4.026 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
| -4.111 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
| -6.328 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2) | Continuous |
| -6.499 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -6.738 | Will there be a Pi variant of COVID by Pi Day (March 14, 2022)? | Binary |
| -6.993 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
| -7.209 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
| -7.910 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (May 14) | Continuous |
| -8.359 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5) | Continuous |
| -8.704 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
| -9.569 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -9.895 | Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013? | Binary |
| -10.294 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 25) | Continuous |
| -10.988 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
| -10.999 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
| -11.717 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
| -12.228 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
| -13.118 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30) | Continuous |
| -13.530 | Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022? | Binary |
| -13.931 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 25) | Continuous |
| -14.148 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
| -14.574 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14) | Continuous |
| -14.735 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
| -17.643 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
| -18.171 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 4) | Continuous |
| -18.832 | How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022? | Continuous |
| -18.877 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
| -20.699 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -20.989 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -21.986 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -23.476 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
| -23.798 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
| -27.749 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (May 14) | Continuous |
| -28.219 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -30.665 | How many additional Eliciting Latent Knowledge prizes will be awarded? | Continuous |
| -30.700 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
| -30.845 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |
| -33.062 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 750 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -35.260 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30) | Continuous |
| -40.412 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16) | Continuous |
| -46.641 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2) | Continuous |
| -55.532 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2) | Continuous |
| -57.707 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
| -96.583 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16) | Continuous |
| -114.747 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16) | Continuous |
| -151.243 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16) | Continuous |